Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.4% as of Jul 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care and offset by communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, China East Air, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.4% as of Jul 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.2ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care and offset by communication services, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, China East Air, Petrochina.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 5th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, China East Air, Petrochina

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

David Blennerhassett

China Merchants China Direct Investments / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The recent news on <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a></strong> was director Elizabeth Kan narrowly getting re-elected. Of interest, ISS recommended shareholders vote AGAINST. Glass Lewis was FOR re-election.</li>
<li>The key takeaway here is that the majority of the minorities want change. The next development may occur in the lead up to the management agreement renewal in November. </li>
<li>In addition, Argyle Street Management, CMSCI's key shareholder activist, is also requesting the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV. </li>
</ul>


The recent news on China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) was director Elizabeth Kan narrowly getting re-elected. Of interest, ISS recommended shareholders vote AGAINST. Glass Lewis was FOR re-election.
The key takeaway here is that the majority of the minorities want change. The next development may occur in the lead up to the management agreement renewal in November. 
In addition, Argyle Street Management, CMSCI's key shareholder activist, is also requesting the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV. 


CMCDI (133 HK): Buybacks And Management Fees Into Focus

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

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China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 5th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, China East Air, Petrochina

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism,Ganfeng Lithium,China East Air,Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

SOUTHBOUND saw its 4th net sell day since Chinese New Year last week. But the week ended up again. That is ~20 weeks in a row. But SOUTHBOUND...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CMCDI (133 HK): Buybacks And Management Fees Into Focus

CMCDI remains cheap. I think a buyback is a distinct possibility. And changes to the management agreement have to occur within the next few months.

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)