Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history.</li>
<li>This was on back of the Aug 2022 agreement between PCAOB, CSRC and MOF, which was followed up with a Hong Kong visit by PCAOB officials over Sep-Nov 2022.</li>
<li>We wrote about this on 14th Dec 2022 and expected the results to be out on Friday (16th Dec), they have come out a day earlier than we expected.</li>
</ul>


Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history.
This was on back of the Aug 2022 agreement between PCAOB, CSRC and MOF, which was followed up with a Hong Kong visit by PCAOB officials over Sep-Nov 2022.
We wrote about this on 14th Dec 2022 and expected the results to be out on Friday (16th Dec), they have come out a day earlier than we expected.


China ADRs Delisting - Christmas Came a Day Earlier than We Expected - No Delisting Risk for Now

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since our note in April <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-meidong-back-the-porsche-at-20-hkd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:69518" rel="noopener">China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD</a>, the company is down greater than 50% despite improving fundamentals due to bearish sentiment on China.</li>
<li>The stock trades at 11.3x/6.4x FY22/23e PE. Assuming an 80% payout ratio, the stock has a 7.1%/12.5% dividend yield for FY22/23e. We believe there is an upside to the payout.</li>
<li>Checks with the company suggest Porsche sales are robust in the high double digits, and the company has overall accelerating revenue trends since Q1 2022. </li>
</ul>


Since our note in April China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD, the company is down greater than 50% despite improving fundamentals due to bearish sentiment on China.
The stock trades at 11.3x/6.4x FY22/23e PE. Assuming an 80% payout ratio, the stock has a 7.1%/12.5% dividend yield for FY22/23e. We believe there is an upside to the payout.
Checks with the company suggest Porsche sales are robust in the high double digits, and the company has overall accelerating revenue trends since Q1 2022. 


Meidong: Now at 11.5 HKD, a Great Entry Price

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.</li><li>Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We are of the view that Meidong’s 3Q22 operational data, especially the top-line growth, may beat expectation, as we project its Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22.</li><li>Although our prior projection of possible price war in the next six months could dent dealers’ new-car gross margin next year, we believe Meidong’s share price could be oversold now given its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.</li><li>We estimate Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We are of the view that Meidong’s 3Q22 operational data, especially the top-line growth, may beat expectation, as we project its Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22.Although our prior projection of possible price war in the next six months could dent dealers’ new-car gross margin next year, we believe Meidong’s share price could be oversold now given its strongest management execution and better brand mix than its peers.We estimate Porsche’s new-car sales volume to be more than doubled in 3Q22Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – 3Q22 operational data may beat expectation

China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)

China ADRs Delisting - Christmas Came a Day Earlier than We Expected - No Delisting Risk for Now

Today PCAOB announced that they had secured complete access to inspect and investigate Chinese Firms for the first time in history. This removes...

Sumeet Singh

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

Meidong: Now at 11.5 HKD, a Great Entry Price

Meidong trades at 11.3x/6.4x FY22/23e PE. Assuming an 80% payout ratio, the stock has a 7.1%/12.5% dividend yield for FY22/23e. We believe there is...

Sameer Taneja

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior...

CMB International

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) – 3Q22 operational data may beat expectation

Although our prior projection of possible price war in the next six months could dent dealers’ new-car gross margin next year, we believe Meidong’s...

CMB International

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