Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.</li>
<li>Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.
We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.
Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.5% as of Sep 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 6.5ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port, China Tourism, Asymchem Lab, Flat Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.5% as of Sep 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 6.5ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port, China Tourism, Asymchem Lab, Flat Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 30th): China Tourism at New Low Since Listing

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Major listed insurers reported August premiums data, showing that P&amp;C premium income growth remained strong in August.</li><li>Our channel check suggests that life insurers’ new business momentum diverged in July-August.</li><li>Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August, up from the double-digit decline in 1H22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Major listed insurers reported August premiums data, showing that P&amp;C premium income growth remained strong in August.Our channel check suggests that life insurers’ new business momentum diverged in July-August.Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August, up from the double-digit decline in 1H22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Financials Weekly – CPIC agency FYP growth picked up in Jul-Aug

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li><p>NEVs / In Depth: New battle lines emerge in China’s shifting NEV market. </p></li><li><p>Foreign affairs / Xi and Putin vow to have each other’s back. </p></li><li><p>Drought / Central China’s Hunan province faces severe drought. </p></li></ul>

NEVs / In Depth: New battle lines emerge in China’s shifting NEV market. Foreign affairs / Xi and Putin vow to have each other’s back. Drought / Central China’s Hunan province faces severe drought. 

CX Daily: New Battle Lines Emerge in China’s Shifting NEV Market

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

People's Insurance (PICC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/people-s-insurance-co-group-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:362:1" rel="noopener">People's Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)</a>’s 2022H1 performance outpaced the industry peers, mainly driven by the improved performance of motor vehicle insurance business and non-vehicle insurance business. </li>
<li>While non-life insurance business is the foundation/main driver of growth,life insurance business is the drag on performance, the successful transformation of which is an important factor to drive up valuation.</li>
<li>PICC’s is undervalued. The major catalyst could be the upcoming 20th National Congress, expecting some rally during this period. Due to unfriendly macro, the rally may not last long.</li>
</ul>



People's Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)’s 2022H1 performance outpaced the industry peers, mainly driven by the improved performance of motor vehicle insurance business and non-vehicle insurance business. 
While non-life insurance business is the foundation/main driver of growth,life insurance business is the drag on performance, the successful transformation of which is an important factor to drive up valuation.
PICC’s is undervalued. The major catalyst could be the upcoming 20th National Congress, expecting some rally during this period. Due to unfriendly macro, the rally may not last long.


People's Insurance (PICC) (1339.HK) - The Rally (If Any) May Not Last Despite Undervalued

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Life Insurance Co H (2628 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Currently at 73 constituents, we could get to 80 stocks at the Dec rebalance. That would leave the slate clean to plan the move to 100 stocks in...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 30th): China Tourism at New Low Since Listing

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Financials Weekly – CPIC agency FYP growth picked up in Jul-Aug

Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August

CMB International

CX Daily: New Battle Lines Emerge in China’s Shifting NEV Market

NEVs / In Depth: New battle lines emerge in China’s shifting NEV market. Foreign affairs / Xi and Putin vow to have each other’s back.

Caixin Global

People's Insurance (PICC) (1339.HK) - The Rally (If Any) May Not Last Despite Undervalued

PICC’s 2022H1 performance outpaced its peers, and it is also undervalued. However, due to complicated environment/unfriendly macro and concerns...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)