Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,809.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, consumer discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,809.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, consumer discretionary sectors.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.


Northbound Flows (Nov 18th): Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Sanya’s lockdown weighed on CTGDF’s 3Q results as we expected, with recurring net profits standing at RMB656mn, down ~45%, as we exclude non-core Beijing airport rental concession and Hainan tax cut impact.</li><li>Despite this, revenue of the quarter rose 8% QoQ to RMB11.7bn, when online sales with Sunrise Shanghai made up most of the offline hiccups.</li><li>The change in sales mix also led to an almost 10pp/11pp QoQ decline in GPM/ OPM to 24.7%/ 12.5%, respectively.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sanya’s lockdown weighed on CTGDF’s 3Q results as we expected, with recurring net profits standing at RMB656mn, down ~45%, as we exclude non-core Beijing airport rental concession and Hainan tax cut impact.Despite this, revenue of the quarter rose 8% QoQ to RMB11.7bn, when online sales with Sunrise Shanghai made up most of the offline hiccups.The change in sales mix also led to an almost 10pp/11pp QoQ decline in GPM/ OPM to 24.7%/ 12.5%, respectively.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CTGDF (601888 CH) – A Weak 3Q on Sanya’s Lockdown

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Nov 18th): Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CTGDF (601888 CH) – A Weak 3Q on Sanya’s Lockdown

Despite this, revenue of the quarter rose 8% QoQ to RMB11.7bn, when online sales with Sunrise Shanghai made up most of the offline hiccups.

CMB International

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52-week Range

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