IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>'s composite document is out with the offer open from 15 September to 6 October. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>, which acquired a 71.04% stake, has launched an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share. SAIC intends to maintain Dongzheng’s listing status.</li>
<li>At the last close and the 17 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 1.1% and 13.3%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)'s composite document is out with the offer open from 15 September to 6 October. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable.

SAIC Motor (600104 CH), which acquired a 71.04% stake, has launched an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share. SAIC intends to maintain Dongzheng’s listing status.
At the last close and the 17 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 1.1% and 13.3%, respectively.


Dongzheng’s Unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 Opens

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Home Credit N.V. is an emerging market consumer finance company and they are planning to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange with various media reports suggesting that the company could raise more than $1.0bn through the IPO.
In our previous insight: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/home-credit-ipo-nim-improvement-driven-by-mismatch-in-maturity-of-assets-and-liabilities" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:32194" rel="noopener">Home Credit IPO: NIM Improvement Driven by Mismatch in Maturity of Assets and Liabilities</a>, we pointed out some important details such as the NIM outlook, likely reasons for slowing POS loans growth and its long-term repercussions, NPL ratio outlook and a more accurate estimation of the NPL coverage ratio.
Here we focus more on the valuation of the company, using a blend of valuation methodologies. Furthermore, we think it is also important to run bear and bull case scenarios as similar companies in the industry are exposed to macro factors/risks more than most other industries.
We look at the capital adequacy side of the business to assess the minimum capital requirement for achieving the growth estimates.

Home Credit N.V. is an emerging market consumer finance company and they are planning to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange with various media reports suggesting that the company could raise more than $1.0bn through the IPO.
In our previous insight: Home Credit IPO: NIM Improvement Driven by Mismatch in Maturity of Assets and Liabilities, we pointed out some important details such as the NIM outlook, likely reasons for slowing POS loans growth and its long-term repercussions, NPL ratio outlook and a more accurate estimation of the NPL coverage ratio.
Here we focus more on the valuation of the company, using a blend of valuation methodologies. Furthermore, we think it is also important to run bear and bull case scenarios as similar companies in the industry are exposed to macro factors/risks more than most other industries.
We look at the capital adequacy side of the business to assess the minimum capital requirement for achieving the growth estimates.

Home Credit IPO Valuation: Pricing Is Likely to Be Towards the Lower End of Our Target Valuation

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its 'Sons and Daughters Program'. The silence since then from Chinese anti-corruption officials has been deafening.

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its 'Sons and Daughters Program'. The silence since then from Chinese anti-corruption officials has been deafening.

Chinese Officials Turn a Blind Eye to Corruption

Public Relations and Social Media Manager, Dechert LLP

Peggy Heffner

Public Relations and Social Media Manager

Dechert is a global specialist law firm

Dechert LLP

Dechert is a global specialist law firm.
Focused on sectors with the greatest complexities, legal intricacies and highest regulatory demands, we excel in delivering practical commercial judgment and deep legal expertise for high-stakes matters.

Our work is widely recognized. We have 20 standout practices noted by Chambers Global, including global-wide rankings for arbitration, corporate investigations, anti-corruption, investment funds and life sciences. Named Antitrust Team of the Year, Chambers USA commends our “accomplished group” as “routinely sought after to handle some of the most significant litigation and transactions in the antitrust world.” 

In an increasingly challenging environment, clients look to us to serve them in ways that are faster, sharper and leaner without compromising excellence. We developed a first-of-its kind legal project management department, which uses technology, people and processes to drive efficiency and deliver value for our clients.

We are innovators. Dechert ranked #7 in the Financial Times’ Top North American Innovative Law Firms. Financial Times also recognizes us among the Top European Innovative Law Firms and highly commends World Compass, our marketing compliance service, which offers investment firms advice in more than 100 jurisdictions.

China has announced the launch of a new initiative that is likely to liberalize the process for foreign investors to invest in the China bond market. As the third largest bond market in the world, this could be a significant boost to international investors wanting access to the Mainland China debt market.<div class="content-highlight">On 15 March 2017, following the fifth annual meeting of the 12th National People' Congress, Premier Li Keqiang announced the intention to launch a bond trading link between China and Hong Kong…</div>

China has announced the launch of a new initiative that is likely to liberalize the process for foreign investors to invest in the China bond market. As the third largest bond market in the world, this could be a significant boost to international investors wanting access to the Mainland China debt market.On 15 March 2017, following the fifth annual meeting of the 12th National People' Congress, Premier Li Keqiang announced the intention to launch a bond trading link between China and Hong Kong…

China-Hong Kong Bond Connect on Its Way. A Legal Update from Dechert's Financial Services Group

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

With new China data it’s easy to consider a fairly benign growth environment.  The reality is more striking. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) publishes claims on non-financial institutions for China’s banks, which is essentially corporate lending.  Growth has just reached a 10-year low of 6.1% YoY in February. Where these loans are 2.5x the level of consumer loans, they are important and their trend, a reasonable reflection of economic strength. In any case, the first two months of 2017 are far…

With new China data it’s easy to consider a fairly benign growth environment.  The reality is more striking. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) publishes claims on non-financial institutions for China’s banks, which is essentially corporate lending.  Growth has just reached a 10-year low of 6.1% YoY in February. Where these loans are 2.5x the level of consumer loans, they are important and their trend, a reasonable reflection of economic strength. In any case, the first two months of 2017 are far…

China

China Huirong Financial Holdings Limited is a short-term secured financing service provider. The Company specializes in providing short-term loans secured by collateral, or "pawn loans", to customers.

China Huirong Financial Holdings (1290 HK)

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China Huirong Financial Holdings (1290 HK)

Dongzheng’s Unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 Opens

The unconditional MGO is open from 15 September to 6 October. At the last close and the 17 October payment, the annualised spread to the MGO price...

Arun George

Home Credit IPO Valuation: Pricing Is Likely to Be Towards the Lower End of Our Target Valuation

Home Credit N.V. is an emerging market consumer finance company and they are planning to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange with various media...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Chinese Officials Turn a Blind Eye to Corruption

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its...

Bixmoor

China-Hong Kong Bond Connect on Its Way. A Legal Update from Dechert's Financial Services Group

China has announced the launch of a new initiative that is likely to liberalize the process for foreign investors to invest in the China bond...

Dechert LLP

Weakening Credit in 1Q17 in China

With new China data it’s easy to consider a fairly benign growth environment. The reality is more striking. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC)...

Daniel Tabbush

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