IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a> announced that the Dumex China Disposal was completed. The completion will result in the satisfaction of the last pre-condition, likely within five business days.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>’s offer is HK$1.20 per share. Due to the upcoming release of full-year results, the scheme document will be likely despatched by early April. </li>
<li>This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK) announced that the Dumex China Disposal was completed. The completion will result in the satisfaction of the last pre-condition, likely within five business days.

China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)’s offer is HK$1.20 per share. Due to the upcoming release of full-year results, the scheme document will be likely despatched by early April. 
This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%, respectively.


Yashili (1230 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfaction Likely Within 5 Business Days

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>HSCEI keeps its constituent count at 80 names, adds <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> and deletes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>There are decent flows in this rebal, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> seeing selling, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> seeing buying. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> sees FAF upweight.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> had called the deletion of China Feihe, but had another name higher on the ADD list. 3.2% and HK$2.6bn one-way flow.</li>
</ul>


HSCEI keeps its constituent count at 80 names, adds XPeng (9868 HK) and deletes China Feihe (6186 HK). 
There are decent flows in this rebal, with Tencent (700 HK) and Alibaba Group (9988 HK) seeing selling, Meituan (3690 HK) seeing buying. Li Auto (2015 HK) sees FAF upweight.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA had called the deletion of China Feihe, but had another name higher on the ADD list. 3.2% and HK$2.6bn one-way flow.


HSCEI Mar23 Index Review/Flows - Xpeng Added, China Feihe Deleted, Li Auto Sees A Bump Up

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 24th): China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, CCB

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.</li>
</ul>


As expected, XPeng (9868 HK) replaces China Feihe (6186 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 10 March.
Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.
Short interest on XPeng (9868 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK) is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

China

Heilongjiang Agriculture Co., Ltd. plants, processes, and sells rice, soybean, wheat, corn, and other grain products.  The Company also produces fertilizers and sells paper products.

MeiHua Holdings Group Co., Ltd. manufactures various pharmaceuticals. The Company manufactures monosodium glutamate, amino acids, L-Threonine L-Glutamine  L-Proline  and Natamycin.

Jiangxi Zhengbang Technology Co., Ltd. produces and markets forage and forage additive for livestock and poultry. The company also produces and markets livestock, poultry and aquatic products.

Uni-President China's products include beverages and food. 

The Group recorded a revenue of RMB22,761.8 million in 2020, representing an increase of 3.4% as compared with that of the corresponding period last year, and profits after tax of RMB1,625.7 million, representing an increase of 19.0% as compared with that of last year. 

We recorded a double-digit growth in the food business as the increasing brand value of daily-consumed noodles “Soup Daren（湯達人）” was highly recognized by consumers and the brand philosophy of the high-end Chinese cuisine “Kai Xiao Zao （開小灶）” was continuously promoted to create and extend the consumption scenarios, thereby contributing to such multifold growth in revenue. 

The beverages business was gradually recovering despite the impacts caused by the epidemic. “Uni Assam Milk Tea（統一阿薩姆奶茶）” was favoured by consumers as
usual with a unwavering leading position in the milk tea market and positive growth in revenue. Sugar-free tea “Chai Li Won（茶裏王）” aligned with consumers’ lifestyle concept of “sugar-free” to improve its brand recognition. On its road to value marketing, the Group remained steadfast in developing brands that are loved and trusted by consumers.

Angel Yeast Co., Ltd. produces yeast and yeast products, including high-activity dry yeast, yeast monosodium glutamate, and special yeast.  The Company also manufactures dairy products, food additives, soy bean products, and other food products.

Shenzhen Shenxin Taifeng Group Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells communication products, as well as produces feedstuffs and breeds poultry.  The Company's products include feedstuffs, communication products and agricultural products as well as is involved in property development and management.

Shenzhen Shenxin Taifeng Group Co,Ltd. (000034 CH)

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd produces and sells animal feeds, cultivates and promotes seed products.  The Company's products include mix feed, concentrate feed, compound feed, paddy seed, corn seed, and cotton seed.

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Grp (002385 CH)

Fujian Sunner Development Company Ltd. processes and markets poultry.  The Company's products include frozen chicken meat and other chicken parts.

Harbin High-tech Group Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company processes soybeans, manufactures pharmaceuticals and water resistant coiled materials, develops and manages real estate, as well as operates in commercial trading.

New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd develops, produces, and markets a variety of animal feeds The Company also operates a commercial tradingbusiness, produces packing materials, chemicals and fish oil, and provides consulting services.

Nisshin Seifun Group Inc. produces and sells flour, fodder, processed foods, and medicines. The Company offers specialized pasta sauce, frozen foods, and gourmet soup. Nisshin Seifun Group also markets pet foods.

PPB Group Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company operations include grains trading, flour and animal feed milling industry as well as downstream activities including livestock farming, food processing and consumer products distribution with primary focus in Indonesia, Malaysia, China, India and Europe.

PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk and its subsidiaries manufacture instant noodles, wheat flour, baby food, food seasonings, coffee, cooking oil, and snacks.

IOI Corporation Berhad cultivates and processes oil palm and rubber.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development and investment, provides landscape services, and sells ornamental plants and turfing grass. IOI Corporation also manufactures industrial and medical gases, and provides building, engineering, and construction services.

CJ CheilJedang Corp. manufactures processed food products.  The Company's products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.  CJ CheilJedang also manufactures pharmaceutical and household products.

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery foods for retail and foodservice customers. The Company offers fresh packaged and frozen bakery products, as well as pastries, doughnuts, and bakery snack products. Flowers Foods serves customers in the State of Georgia.

Universal Robina Corporation manufactures, markets, and distributes branded consumer foods. The Company's products include hogs and poultry farming, animal feeds, corn products, and animal health products.

NICHIREI CORPORATION produces and distributes frozen food, ice, and meat products.  The Company also provides a variety of cold storage services, as well as manages leasing business for buildings and parking garages.

YAMAZAKI BAKING CO., LTD. produces baking foods including bread, pastry, and cake.  The Company operates nationwide sales network.  YAMAZAKI BAKING also operates franchised cafeterias and convenience stores.

Hatsun Agro Products Limited manufactures skimmed milk powder, skimmed milk powd er blends, instant skimmed milk powder, whole milk powder, and full cream milk p owder.

China Feihe Limited manufactures and sells dairy products. The Company provides infant milk formula products processing, production, marketing, and other services. China Feihe also sells infant milk formula products on some electronic commerce platforms.

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China Feihe (6186 HK)

Yashili (1230 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfaction Likely Within 5 Business Days

This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%,...

Arun George

HSCEI Mar23 Index Review/Flows - Xpeng Added, China Feihe Deleted, Li Auto Sees A Bump Up

The HSCEI Index Review sees one ADD (Xpeng) and one DELETE (China Feihe). These are not unexpected, and the change in FFW because of new treatment...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 24th): China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Xpeng replaces China Feihe in the HSCEI at the close on 10 March. Li Auto is the biggest gainer following a change in index handling for dual...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight inflows for Meituan, Xiaomi and outflows from Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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