Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farm-fresh-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34617:1" rel="noopener">Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY)</a> is a leading vertically integrated dairy player in Malaysia. It has launched an IPO to raise $239 million. </li>
<li>The business is navigating the normalisation of consumer demand and input cost inflation by delivering healthy growth, market share gains, creditable margin performance and cash generation. </li>
<li>Overall, this IPO is worth a closer look. The offer period is from 28 February to 10 March. The listing is on 22 March.   </li>
</ul>



Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY) is a leading vertically integrated dairy player in Malaysia. It has launched an IPO to raise $239 million. 
The business is navigating the normalisation of consumer demand and input cost inflation by delivering healthy growth, market share gains, creditable margin performance and cash generation. 
Overall, this IPO is worth a closer look. The offer period is from 28 February to 10 March. The listing is on 22 March.   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)</a> has launched a conditional MGO at HK$10.06 per share with a first and final closing date of 3 and 17 March, respectively. </li>
<li>The MGO is conditional on the offeror and concert parties holding more than 50% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnutria-dairy-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13799:1" rel="noopener">Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)</a>'s voting rights. Yili owns 34.33% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>Around 37.5% of public shareholders (assuming other directors accept the offer) will need to accept the MGO for it to become unconditional. Achieving the 50%+ voting threshold could be challenging. </li>
</ul>



Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH) has launched a conditional MGO at HK$10.06 per share with a first and final closing date of 3 and 17 March, respectively. 
The MGO is conditional on the offeror and concert parties holding more than 50% of Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)'s voting rights. Yili owns 34.33% of outstanding shares.
Around 37.5% of public shareholders (assuming other directors accept the offer) will need to accept the MGO for it to become unconditional. Achieving the 50%+ voting threshold could be challenging. 


Ausnutria’s Conditional MGO Open, IFA Opinion

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnutria-dairy-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13799:1" rel="noopener">Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)</a>'s Composite Document has now been despatched. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial (600887 CH)</a>'s Offer is open for acceptances with a first close on the 3 March.</li>
<li>The Offer is conditional on 50% acceptances, with Yili holding 34.33%. </li>
<li>This transaction <em>should</em> get up. The IFA considers the Offer is fair and reasonable. </li>
</ul>



Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)'s Composite Document has now been despatched. Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial (600887 CH)'s Offer is open for acceptances with a first close on the 3 March.
The Offer is conditional on 50% acceptances, with Yili holding 34.33%. 
This transaction should get up. The IFA considers the Offer is fair and reasonable. 


Ausnutria (1717 HK): Composite Doc Out. Offer Now Open

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 26 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Skyworth (751 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK), Linklogis (9959 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 90 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Hengan International (1044 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Nov 26 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Skyworth (751 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK), Linklogis (9959 HK).
In the past 90 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Hengan International (1044 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: Skyworth, China Feihe, Linklogis

China

China Feihe Limited manufactures and sells dairy products. The Company provides infant milk formula products processing, production, marketing, and other services. China Feihe also sells infant milk formula products on some electronic commerce platforms.

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China Feihe (6186 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

Farm Fresh IPO Initiation: Bet the Farm

Farm Fresh has launched an IPO to raise RM1 bn (US$239 m). The fundamentals are sound and this IPO is worth a look. The offer period is from 28...

Arun George

Ausnutria’s Conditional MGO Open, IFA Opinion

Yili has launched a conditional MGO at HK$10.06 per share. Yili owns 34.33% of outstanding shares and the MGO is conditional on hitting a 50%...

Arun George

Ausnutria (1717 HK): Composite Doc Out. Offer Now Open

At HK$9.91/share, Ausnutria is currently trading at a gross/annualised spread of 1.5%/18%, assuming mid-March payment. That's okay. With Yili now...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Buybacks: Skyworth, China Feihe, Linklogis

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares in HK were Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK), China Feihe Limited (6186 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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