Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.2% as of Jan 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, health care and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China Com Cons, SMIC, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.2% as of Jan 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, health care and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China Com Cons, SMIC, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 19th): Haier Smart, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, CR Group, CCCC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.1% as of Oct 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.7ppt week on week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.1% as of Oct 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.7ppt week on week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 27th): Beigene, CMS, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> saw stronger new contract growth in 2Q23, increasing by 15.5% YoY. Sharp pick-up in domestic contracts is the key driver.</li>
<li>We estimate its backlog at end-1H23 at Rmb3.9trn, up 15% from end-FY22. This equals 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue, indicating very comfortable forward coverage.</li>
<li>Despite a 22.5% share price increase YTD, it trades on just 0.21x P/B. Compared with an ROE of 7-8%, it is inexpensive. Upside will come from asset value realisation.</li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK) saw stronger new contract growth in 2Q23, increasing by 15.5% YoY. Sharp pick-up in domestic contracts is the key driver.
We estimate its backlog at end-1H23 at Rmb3.9trn, up 15% from end-FY22. This equals 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue, indicating very comfortable forward coverage.
Despite a 22.5% share price increase YTD, it trades on just 0.21x P/B. Compared with an ROE of 7-8%, it is inexpensive. Upside will come from asset value realisation.


China Comm Const (1800 HK): New Contract Growth Accelerated

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

China

China Communications Construction Company Limited offers transportation infrastructure construction services. The Company constructs ports, waterways, highways, bridges, and other infrastructures. China Communications Construction also operates real estate development.

China Communications Construct (601800 CH)

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China Communications Construct (601800 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 19th): Haier Smart, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, CR Group, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 27th): Beigene, CMS, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Comm Const (1800 HK): New Contract Growth Accelerated

New contract growth accelerated to 15.5% in 2Q23, and we estimate its end-1H23 backlog is enough to cover 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue. Relative...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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