Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Citic Bank Corp Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday.</li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK11.3bn. Thursday saw a break of the SOUTHBOUND buying streak. </li>
<li>The big news in China markets this week was the idea that mainland investors through SOUTHBOUND would no longer be hit with a 20% w/h tax on dividends.</li>
</ul>


A-Shares only two days of the week and were up small Monday and Tuesday. H-shares took a breather Wednesday after trailing A-shares, then rallied hard on Thursday and Friday.
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK11.3bn. Thursday saw a break of the SOUTHBOUND buying streak. 
The big news in China markets this week was the idea that mainland investors through SOUTHBOUND would no longer be hit with a 20% w/h tax on dividends.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024); Banks, Coal, and High-Div Energy/Materials Names

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China considers launching a stock stabilization fund which could release RmB800B in liquidity support for the market.  Securities firms and insurance companies will be the major beneficiaries.</li>
<li>The mega merger between  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> could be the precursor to further industry consolidation.</li>
<li>Hong Kong trading volumes and IPO's set to surge as Beijing lifts sentiment.</li>
</ul>


China considers launching a stock stabilization fund which could release RmB800B in liquidity support for the market.  Securities firms and insurance companies will be the major beneficiaries.
The mega merger between  Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) and Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) could be the precursor to further industry consolidation.
Hong Kong trading volumes and IPO's set to surge as Beijing lifts sentiment.


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20590:1" rel="noopener">Citic Ltd (267 HK)</a> is a well-managed conglomerate trading at a big discount to its constituent parts</li>
<li>Earnings should move up from here and pays a decent dividend while you wait.</li>
<li>A member of both the the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)  and the HSCCI and will attract inflows once institutional money returns</li>
</ul>



Citic Ltd (267 HK) is a well-managed conglomerate trading at a big discount to its constituent parts
Earnings should move up from here and pays a decent dividend while you wait.
A member of both the the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)  and the HSCCI and will attract inflows once institutional money returns


Citic Limited - A Deeply Discounted Conglomerate in the Hang Seng Index

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Chinese banks are under strain as their deposits shrink in the wake of a regulatory crackdown on offering deposit rates higher than regulatory caps.</li><li>In the first half of the year, many Chinese mainland-listed commercial banks saw a decline in their net cash flow generated from operating activities — a key indicator of lenders’ liquidity — Caixin calculations based on their interim reports show.</li><li>Among China’s “Big Six” state-owned banks by assets, only Postal Savings Bank of China Co.</li></ul>

Chinese banks are under strain as their deposits shrink in the wake of a regulatory crackdown on offering deposit rates higher than regulatory caps.In the first half of the year, many Chinese mainland-listed commercial banks saw a decline in their net cash flow generated from operating activities — a key indicator of lenders’ liquidity — Caixin calculations based on their interim reports show.Among China’s “Big Six” state-owned banks by assets, only Postal Savings Bank of China Co.

Chinese Banks’ Cash Flow Plummets After Crackdown on High Deposit Rates 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> has got approval to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.</li>
<li>That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.</li>
<li>The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) has got approval to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.
That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.
The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.


Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

China

China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, domestic settlement,  currency trading, bank guarantee, and other services. China CITIC Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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China CITIC Bank (601998 CH)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024); Banks, Coal, and High-Div Energy/Materials Names

SOUTHBOUND flows lost their buy streak with a second net sell day since Chinese New Year, but HK performed well with HSI almost to 19,000....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong/China Brokers: TAKE THE OFFER!

The HK/China brokers: 6030, 3908, 6886, 6806, 6881, 1776, 6178, 1456, 165, and 6099 have gained between 90% and 100% since the report was published...

David Mudd

Citic Limited - A Deeply Discounted Conglomerate in the Hang Seng Index

Tradeable rally for the Hang Seng Index in motion. Conglomerates have been leading the market (as noted by @David Mudd here BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong...

Rikki Malik

Chinese Banks’ Cash Flow Plummets After Crackdown on High Deposit Rates

Chinese banks are under strain as their deposits shrink in the wake of a regulatory crackdown on offering deposit rates higher than regulatory...

Caixin Global

Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

The CSRC and HKEX have both approved Midea Group's H-share listing. Reports indicate an issue size of up to US$3bn. Index inclusion gets tougher at...

Brian Freitas

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