Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate (IAP AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02480691_PS-2A1353504?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> and Dutch pension fund PGGM at $1.90/security, by way of a Scheme, plus a possible $0.0467/security distribution.</li>
<li>Importantly, the proposal contains a call option over 360 Capital’s 19.9% security holding in IAP.</li>
<li>IAP is considering the Offer. Expect the board to grant due diligence.  This proposal is a 10.5% premium to 360 Capital's Offer, before taking into account the distribution. </li>
</ul>



Irongate (IAP AU) has announced a non-binding proposal from Charter Hall (CHC AU) and Dutch pension fund PGGM at $1.90/security, by way of a Scheme, plus a possible $0.0467/security distribution.
Importantly, the proposal contains a call option over 360 Capital’s 19.9% security holding in IAP.
IAP is considering the Offer. Expect the board to grant due diligence.  This proposal is a 10.5% premium to 360 Capital's Offer, before taking into account the distribution. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> has come over the top to bid A$1.9/stapled security for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>. That's 10.5% higher than the last bid from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/360-capital-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11865:1" rel="noopener">360 Capital (TGP AU)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> have also signed an MOU with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/360-capital-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11865:1" rel="noopener">360 Capital (TGP AU)</a> that takes 360 Capital out of any bidding war.</li>
<li>At a 23.4% premium to pro forma NTA, we think the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a> Board will give the partnership due diligence access and the deal should complete.</li>
</ul>



Charter Hall (CHC AU) has come over the top to bid A$1.9/stapled security for Irongate Group (IAP AU). That's 10.5% higher than the last bid from 360 Capital (TGP AU). 

Charter Hall (CHC AU) have also signed an MOU with 360 Capital (TGP AU) that takes 360 Capital out of any bidding war.
At a 23.4% premium to pro forma NTA, we think the Irongate Group (IAP AU) Board will give the partnership due diligence access and the deal should complete.


Charter Hall (CHC AU)'s Offer for Irongate Group (IAP AU)

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. </li>
<li>In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra-quarterly changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. 
In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. 
In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra-quarterly changes.


S&P/​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Crude oil prices display bullish short-term reversals, resulting in bullish price and RS reversals for global Energy stocks -- add exposure. From a macro perspective, despite some mild price deterioration recently on major indexes around the globe, our outlook remains unchanged and we remain neutral yet constructive overall. Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we continue to see attractive opportunities in many countries/regions such as Japan, China (Shanghai Composite), Europe, India, and Canada, to name a few.

Crude oil prices display bullish short-term reversals, resulting in bullish price and RS reversals for global Energy stocks -- add exposure. From a macro perspective, despite some mild price deterioration recently on major indexes around the globe, our outlook remains unchanged and we remain neutral yet constructive overall. Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we continue to see attractive opportunities in many countries/regions such as Japan, China (Shanghai Composite), Europe, India, and Canada, to name a few.

Global Energy Sector Improving -- Buying Reliance Industries Ltd, Several Others

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ale-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7484:1" rel="noopener">Ale Property (LEP AU)</a> ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> comprising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-long-wale-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24076:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU)</a> ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. <hr>For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-australia-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30118" rel="noopener">Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-m-a-australia-foreign-investment-reforms" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40210" rel="noopener">Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms</a>

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner Ale Property (LEP AU) ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by Charter Hall (CHC AU) comprising Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU) ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019 and Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms 

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Australia

Charter Hall Group invests in and develops real estate.  The Company manages real estate investment funds and develops commercial, residential, and industrial properties.

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Charter Hall (CHC AU)

Irongate: Charter Hall Stakes Its Claim

Though still indicative, this proposal, with 360 Capital's support, appears all stitched up. Currently trading at a gross/annualised spread of 3%...

David Blennerhassett