Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We previously discussed our belief that equities were in the midst of a rally/short squeeze, but that the rally is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area on S&amp;P 500</li>
<li>And, as you will see below, countless other indexes and Sectors are testing important resistance levels. We continue to expect 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500 to cap upside</li>
<li>Buy ideas highlighted within defensives, including Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Communications: CMCSA, CHTR, UL, KHC, CAG, SJM, CPB, LLY, MRK, and NVO</li>
</ul>


We previously discussed our belief that equities were in the midst of a rally/short squeeze, but that the rally is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area on S&amp;P 500
And, as you will see below, countless other indexes and Sectors are testing important resistance levels. We continue to expect 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500 to cap upside
Buy ideas highlighted within defensives, including Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Communications: CMCSA, CHTR, UL, KHC, CAG, SJM, CPB, LLY, MRK, and NVO


Many Indexes/Sectors Testing Resistance; Limited Upside From Here; Buys in Staples and Health Care

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Charter Communications  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>This is our first report on Charter Communications, one of the largest cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S.</li><li>The company delivered a disappointing set of results in the quarter failing to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.</li><li>The company also had around 4.7 million mobile lines at the end of the quarter.</li></ul>

This is our first report on Charter Communications, one of the largest cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S.The company delivered a disappointing set of results in the quarter failing to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.The company also had around 4.7 million mobile lines at the end of the quarter.

Charter Communications Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Strong Barriers To Entry & Other Drivers

Credit

<ul><li>Charter Communications is one of the leading cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S.</li><li>The company’s recent financial performance has been tepid despite consistent additions of new Internet customers throughout the year.</li><li>They further offer the nation's fastest Internet, WiFi, and mobile speeds when combined with WiFi, all while saving consumers thousands of dollars a year or serving them.</li></ul>

Charter Communications is one of the leading cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S.The company’s recent financial performance has been tepid despite consistent additions of new Internet customers throughout the year.They further offer the nation's fastest Internet, WiFi, and mobile speeds when combined with WiFi, all while saving consumers thousands of dollars a year or serving them.

Charter Communications Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Comcast and Charter have seen their share prices cut 30% since the fall when we thought broadband risks were overstated.</li>
<li>We don't think now is the time to buy cable though due to rising competitive intensity from telco.</li>
<li>Prefer Charter over Comcast due to their faster growing wireless business and pure play business model vs. Comcast's increased streaming content spend.</li>
</ul>


Comcast and Charter have seen their share prices cut 30% since the fall when we thought broadband risks were overstated.
We don't think now is the time to buy cable though due to rising competitive intensity from telco.
Prefer Charter over Comcast due to their faster growing wireless business and pure play business model vs. Comcast's increased streaming content spend.


Comcast and Charter: Does Wireless Upside Offset Broadband Concerns?

<p>Comcast and Charter have had big pullbacks in the past month, leading to an attractive setup into earnings with valuations having compressed significantly over transitory weakness in broadband due to tough COVID comps and overstated competitive concerns. We'd be buyers of both. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

Comcast and Charter have had big pullbacks in the past month, leading to an attractive setup into earnings with valuations having compressed significantly over transitory weakness in broadband due to tough COVID comps and overstated competitive concerns. We'd be buyers of both. Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

United States

Charter Communications, Inc. operates as a cable telecommunications company. The Company offers cable broadcasting, internet, voice, and mass media services. Charter Communications serves customers in the United States.

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Charter Communications (CHTR US)

Many Indexes/Sectors Testing Resistance; Limited Upside From Here; Buys in Staples and Health Care

We continue to expect 4100-4165 on the $SPX to cap upside. Many other indexes and Sectors are also testing important resistance levels dating back...

Vermilion Research

Charter Communications Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Strong Barriers To Entry & Other Drivers

This is our first report on Charter Communications, one of the largest cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S. The...

Baptista Research

Charter Communications Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Charter Communications is one of the leading cable operators and broadband connectivity companies in the U.S. The company’s recent financial...

Baptista Research

Comcast and Charter: Does Wireless Upside Offset Broadband Concerns?

While we have historically been attracted to the fiber moats of the US cable operators and the stocks are down 30% from ATH valuations...we remain...

Aaron Gabin

US Cable: Good Entry Point

Comcast and Charter have had big pullbacks in the past month, leading to an attractive setup with valuations having compressed due to tough COVID...

Aaron Gabin

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