Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.</li>
<li>At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.
At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hs outperformed As on average, slightly, within the AH pair universe. Last week's reco gained vs the A on the week, but not Monday close to Friday. Stay long.</li>
<li>There are nine new recos this week after a bunch of trades were closed last week.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Hs outperformed As on average, slightly, within the AH pair universe. Last week's reco gained vs the A on the week, but not Monday close to Friday. Stay long.
There are nine new recos this week after a bunch of trades were closed last week.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 14 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Still Behaving Badly, SOE Pair Hs Better

<ul>
<li>Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. </li>
<li>Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. 
Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.</li>
<li>Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  </li>
<li>The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market.  Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in the previous month.
Dividend yield and low volatility factors outperformed in October as growth and momentum factors declined.  
The technology and healthcare sectors declined in October, while the energy and utility sectors gained during the month.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.9% as of Oct 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, information technology, industrials and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

China

CGN Power Co., Ltd. operates and manages nuclear power generating stations. The Company sells all of the electricity from its stations, manages, oversees the construction of nuclear power stations, and provides technical research plus develops support services. CGN Power has stations in Guangdong, Fujian and Liaoning, and is a subsidiary of China General Nuclear Power Corporation.

Price Gauge
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CGN Power (1816 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 14 Nov 2025): Beautiful Skew Still Behaving Badly, SOE Pair Hs Better

Hs outperformed As slightly as HK shares outperformed mainland shares. Sectors were mixed. There was no beautiful skew as the widest spreads...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025): Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

Hs rebound vs As in pairs where both trade. SOEs do well. Beautiful skew is not a thing anymore. Absent from the market for weeks, but value...

Travis Lundy

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (November 5)

Hong Kong has entered a consolidation stage of its long-term Secular Bull Market. Southbound buying declined in October from an all time high in...

David Mudd

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 24th): China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Oilfield Services, Cgn Power, Anhui Expressway, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)