Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess CEMEX's ESG as "Strong", in line with its Environmental and Governance scores. The company has an "Adequate" score for the Social pillar. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Strong".

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).  We assess CEMEX's ESG as "Strong", in line with its Environmental and Governance scores. The company has an "Adequate" score for the Social pillar. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Strong". 

Credit

The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - March 2023 - Lucror Analytics

In our European High Yield Investment Outlook, we first discuss our high-conviction trade recommendations. We then examine major geopolitical and macroeconomic drivers for the year, as well as commodity price trends. We also assess the interest rate exposure of companies in our coverage universe and elaborate on developments for European HY markets, including new issuances and defaults. Lastly, we cover sectoral developments and the key drivers for companies under our coverage. Overall, we are cautiously optimistic for 2023, and believe selected names still offer interesting opportunities, albeit spreads have recovered strongly this year.

  In our European High Yield Investment Outlook, we first discuss our high-conviction trade recommendations. We then examine major geopolitical and macroeconomic drivers for the year, as well as commodity price trends. We also assess the interest rate exposure of companies in our coverage universe and elaborate on developments for European HY markets, including new issuances and defaults. Lastly, we cover sectoral developments and the key drivers for companies under our coverage.   Overall, we are cautiously optimistic for 2023, and believe selected names still offer interesting opportunities, albeit spreads have recovered strongly this year.   

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2023 - Lucror Analytics

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.</li>
<li>We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.</li>
<li>The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.
We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.
The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.


UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2022 - Lucror Analytics

United States

Eagle Materials Inc. manufactures and distributes cement, gypsum wallboard, recycled paperboard, and concrete and aggregates.  The Company's products are used in the construction of homes, commercial and industrial buildings, and governmental buildings across the United States.

Summit Materials, Inc. manufactures cement and concrete products. The Company produces cement, ready mix products which includes blocks, pipes, bricks, walls, and girders.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. supplies lime and limestone products to the steel, paper, agriculture, environmental protection, and construction industries.  The Company operates plants in Texas and Arkansas.

United States Steel Corporation operates as an integrated steel producer. The Company manufactures flat-rolled and tubular products with production operations in North America and Europe. United States Steel serves the automotive, appliance, container, industrial machinery, construction, and oil and gas industries.

Crown Holdings, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells packaging products for consumer goods through plants located in countries around the world.  The Company's primary products include steel and aluminum cans for food, beverage, household, and other consumer products.  Crown also provides a variety of metal caps, closures, and dispensing systems.

WestRock Company provides consumer and corrugated packaging solutions. The Company offers merchandising displays, paperboard, recycling, and waste solutions. WestRock conducts business in the United States.

AptarGroup, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets pumps, dispensing closures, and aerosol valves.  The Company's products are used for fragrance/cosmetics, personal care, pharmaceutical, household/industrial, and food products. AptarGroup operates worldwide.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is an integrated provider of paperboard and integrated paperboard packaging solutions to multinational beverage and consumer products companies.  The Company manufactures folding cartons for frozen and non-frozen food and beverage products.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK US)

Alcoa Corporation manufactures metal products. The Company produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Alcoa serves aluminum industry worldwide.

Albemarle Corporation produces specialty and fine chemicals.  The Company's chemicals are additives to or intermediates for plastics, polymers and elastomers, cleaning products, agricultural compounds, pharmaceuticals, photographic chemicals, drilling compounds, and biocides.  Albemarle produces the majority of its products in the United States.

Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited manufactures cement products. The Company produces silicate cements, slag silicate cements, composite silicate cements, cement clinkers, and other products. Anhui Conch Cement Cement markets its products throughout China and worldwide.

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

The Siam Cement Public Company Limited is a diversified industrial company. The Company's operations include cement manufacturing, petrochemicals manufacturing, paper manufacturing, building product manufacturing, and distribution.

China Jushi Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets glass fibers and its products. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures building materials and pol yvinyl chloride (PVC) plastic pipes.

Shree Cement Ltd. manufactures cement and cement products. The Company sells its products primarily in Northern India under its own brand names.

James Hardie Industries Plc manufactures building products for new home construction and remodeling.  The Company's products include fiber cement siding, backerboard, and pipe. James Hardie Industries operates in the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

Xinjiang Tianshan Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of cement and its related products. The Company's products include normal cement, composite cement, portland cement, concrete, clinker, and other related products.

Taiwan Cement Corporation manufactures and markets cement.  The Company's products include Portland cement, high strength cement, oil well cement, and sludge treatment agents.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in transportation, construction, and information products businesses.

Buzzi Unicem S.p.A., through subsidiaries, produces and markets building materials.  The Company produces cement and ready-mix concrete in Italy and the United States.

Cemex SAB de CV is a building products company. The Company produces, distributes, and markets cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, and related building materials. Cemex operates throughout the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia.

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Cemex SAB de CV ADR (CX US)

CEMEX - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess CEMEX's ESG as "Strong",...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - March 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2023 - Lucror Analytics

In our European High Yield Investment Outlook, we first discuss our high-conviction trade recommendations. We then examine major geopolitical and...

Lucror Analytics

UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Recent major breakouts for the FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities...

Vermilion Research

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

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