IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation (5842 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Doosan Robotics (454910 KS), ARM Holdings (1822695D US), Integral Corporation (5842 JP) and S.F. Holding (002352 CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP), Eoflow (294090 KS), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).  


Weekly Deals Digest (03 Sep) - JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Doosan Robotics, ARM, Integral Corp

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlyle-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33402:1" rel="noopener">Carlyle Group / (CG US)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,070 per share, an 88.7% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7343:1" rel="noopener">Dic Corp (4631 JP)</a> will not tender but vote for the share consolidation at the EGM. Post consolidation, DIC will sell its 54.51% stake to Carlyle at JPY799 per share.</li>
<li>Achieving the minimum ownership ratio (12.16%) requires a 26.7% acceptance rate, which is doable as the offer is attractive. The tender offer runs from 4 September to 17 October. </li>
</ul>



Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP) has recommended Carlyle Group / (CG US)’s tender offer of JPY1,070 per share, an 88.7% premium to the undisturbed price.

Dic Corp (4631 JP) will not tender but vote for the share consolidation at the EGM. Post consolidation, DIC will sell its 54.51% stake to Carlyle at JPY799 per share.
Achieving the minimum ownership ratio (12.16%) requires a 26.7% acceptance rate, which is doable as the offer is attractive. The tender offer runs from 4 September to 17 October. 


Seiko PMC (4963 JP): Carlyle's JPY1,070 Tender Offer

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation (5842 JP)</a> is an independent Japanese private equity firm seeking to raise about US$174 million. The pricing is on 4 September, and the listing is on 20 September. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/integral-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:110936" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/integral-corporation-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111035" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss forecasts and valuation. Our analysis suggests that the indicative IPO price range of JPY2,800-3,400 per share is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Integral Corporation (5842 JP) is an independent Japanese private equity firm seeking to raise about US$174 million. The pricing is on 4 September, and the listing is on 20 September. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Integral Corporation IPO: The Bull Case and Integral Corporation IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss forecasts and valuation. Our analysis suggests that the indicative IPO price range of JPY2,800-3,400 per share is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.


Integral Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/circadian-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13546:1" rel="noopener">Opthea Ltd (OPT AU)</a> is seeking to raise A$80M ($51M) through a combination of private placement and accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund the clinical development of OPT-302.</li>
<li>The proceeds of the offer, pending funds from the earlier agreements, along with existing cash balance, are expected to fund the company’s operation through Q3 2024.</li>
<li>OPT-302 is in two phase 3 trials, which are expected to be fully enrolled by 1H24. In phase 2 trial, OPT-302 has demonstrated superior visual acuity over standard of care.</li>
</ul>



Opthea Ltd (OPT AU) is seeking to raise A$80M ($51M) through a combination of private placement and accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund the clinical development of OPT-302.
The proceeds of the offer, pending funds from the earlier agreements, along with existing cash balance, are expected to fund the company’s operation through Q3 2024.
OPT-302 is in two phase 3 trials, which are expected to be fully enrolled by 1H24. In phase 2 trial, OPT-302 has demonstrated superior visual acuity over standard of care.


Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation (5842 JP)</a> is an independent Japanese private equity firm seeking to raise about US$175 million. The pricing is on 4 September, and the listing is on 20 September. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/integral-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:110936" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rest on the declining mix of fee-earning AUM, growth driven by volatile investment income and uninspiring 1HFY22 performance in fee-related revenue growth and margin.</li>
</ul>



Integral Corporation (5842 JP) is an independent Japanese private equity firm seeking to raise about US$175 million. The pricing is on 4 September, and the listing is on 20 September. 
In Integral Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rest on the declining mix of fee-earning AUM, growth driven by volatile investment income and uninspiring 1HFY22 performance in fee-related revenue growth and margin.


United States

The Carlyle Group Inc. operates as a global investment firm. The Company manages investment vehicles that invests across four segments which includes corporate private equity, real assets, global credit, and investment solutions. Carlyle Group serves clients worldwide.

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Carlyle Group / (CG US)

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Sep) - JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Doosan Robotics, ARM, Integral Corp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Shougang Fushan, Costa, Symbio, Musgrave) and ECM (Doosan...

Arun George

Seiko PMC (4963 JP): Carlyle's JPY1,070 Tender Offer

Achieving the minimum ownership ratio (12.16%) requires a 26.7% acceptance rate, which is doable as the offer is attractive. The tender offer runs...

Arun George

Integral Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we discuss forecasts and valuation. Our analysis suggests that the indicative IPO price range of JPY2,800-3,400 per share is...

Arun George

Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate

Opthea will raise A$80M via a combination of private placement and accelerated non-renounceable right offer. Proceeds from the offer and existing...

Tina Banerjee

Integral Corporation IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rest on the declining mix of fee-earning AUM, growth driven by volatile investment income and uninspiring 1HFY22 performance in fee...

Arun George

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