IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.</li>
<li>Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. 

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.
Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. 


MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

<ul>
<li>Quarz Capital’s <a href="https://www.bettermnact.com/_files/ugd/517105_02ef42e240d344b9a13b20fce5b8c5d1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">open letter</a> urges <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>.</li>
<li>MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   </li>
<li>MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   </li>
</ul>


Quarz Capital’s open letter urges Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP).
MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   
MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   


MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16035" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)</a> 3Q22 DPU +5.8% YoY; Sustained robust occupancy and reversions  </li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-china-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8859" rel="noopener">CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +35.1% YoY – Negative 3.4% retail reversions a concern</li><li>Office rents and vacancy bottomed in 4Q21; Index rose 1.9% in 2021</li></ul>

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) 3Q22 DPU +5.8% YoY; Sustained robust occupancy and reversions  CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT SP) 2H21 DPU +35.1% YoY – Negative 3.4% retail reversions a concernOffice rents and vacancy bottomed in 4Q21; Index rose 1.9% in 2021

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (31Jan22) - MLT Sustained Robust Occupancy, Reversions

<ul>
<li>Each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The proposed merger provides <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   </li>
<li>MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. </li>
</ul>


Each Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.
The proposed merger provides Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   
MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. 


Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

Equity Capital Markets

Digital Core REIT / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-realty-trust-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13149:1" rel="noopener">Digital Realty Trust (DLR US)</a>. It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/digital-core-reit-ipo-reaching-for-the-clouds" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61737" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds</a>, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    </li>
<li>Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by Digital Realty Trust (DLR US). It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. 
In Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    
Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.


Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Singapore

Capitaland China Trust is a shopping mall real estate investment trust. The trust was established with the objective of investing on a long term basis in a diversified portfolio of income -producing real estate used primarily for retail purposed and located in China.

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CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT SP)

MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

MCT has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, which Quarz considers fair. Including potential permitted 2H DPU, the...

Arun George

MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (31Jan22) - MLT Sustained Robust Occupancy, Reversions

CLCT negative retail reversions a concern; 4Q21 office rents bottomed; 4Q21 retail rents recovered; Industrial rents trending upwards; Phils office...

SCCM Asia Research

Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

The deal terms are attractive for MNACT unitholders. The deal is DPU/NAV accretive for MCT unitholders. The merger is likely to get approval from...

Arun George

Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Digital Core REIT is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is...

Arun George

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