Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. </li>
<li>Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. </li>
<li>They are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a></strong> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Sohu.com (SOHU US</strong>)</a>. This insight looks at both names. </li>
</ul>


Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. 
Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. 
They are JOYY (YY US) and Sohu.com (SOHU US). This insight looks at both names. 


Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.</li>
<li>The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. </li>
<li>At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



SAIC Motor (600104 CH) completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.
The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. 
At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.


SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

<ul>
<li>The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.</li>
<li>The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.</li>
<li>At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.
The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the SAIC Motor (600104 CH)’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.
At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.


Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

<ul>
<li>On 19 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> emerged as the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.</li>
<li>Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. </li>
</ul>


On 19 May, SAIC Motor (600104 CH) emerged as the successful bidder for China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.
Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. 


SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

<ul>
<li>On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court <a href="https://paimai.jd.com/287421325" target="_blank" rel="noopener">published</a> the details for the auction of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.</li>
<li>The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.</li>
</ul>


On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court published the details for the auction of China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). 
If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.
The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.


Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

China

Cango Inc. operates as a platform as a service company. The Company offers automotive transaction service platform that connects dealers, financial institutions, car buyers, and other industry participants. Cango serves clients in China.

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Cango Inc (CANG US)

Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

I'd tilt slightly towards Sohu. It did successfully sell Sogou; whereas Joyy failed to sell YY live. That may provide some insight as to how the...

David Blennerhassett

SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.

Arun George

Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the annualised...

Arun George

SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

SAIC, the successful bidder, will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, requiring an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294. Shares...

Arun George

Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

The auction of China Zhengtong’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng will be held from 18 to 19 May. A successful auction will imply an MGO price (at the...

Arun George

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