External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand.</li><li>Compared with that of Chinese G-SIBs and Asian DMs, the return predictability of AT1s in Asian EMs are lower.</li><li>Hence, our analytical approach in Asian EM AT1s will be more “bottom-up”.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand.Compared with that of Chinese G-SIBs and Asian DMs, the return predictability of AT1s in Asian EMs are lower.Hence, our analytical approach in Asian EM AT1s will be more “bottom-up”.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Canara Bank (CBK) reported a healthy performance with 19% YoY NII growth (3% beat) driven by 8bp margin expansion in 2QFY23.</li><li>This coupled with healthy treasury gains and traction in fee income drove overall earnings.</li><li>The bank has further adopted the new tax regime and provided deferred tax worth INR24.5b.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Canara Bank (CBK) reported a healthy performance with 19% YoY NII growth (3% beat) driven by 8bp margin expansion in 2QFY23.This coupled with healthy treasury gains and traction in fee income drove overall earnings.The bank has further adopted the new tax regime and provided deferred tax worth INR24.5b.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Canara Bank (CBK) - Operating Performance Healthy; Loan Growth Gaining Traction

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>Our profitability and credit quality screens were generally, in terms of credit quality metrics to end-December 2021, more constructive than the prior quarter, whilst core profitability signals improved slightly</li>
<li>The threat of worsening credit quality in the coming quarters is still real, in our view, with the financial difficulties of Future Retail indicating potential corporate credit quality deterioration</li>
<li>We like quality play HDFC Bank, turn constructive on State Bank of India and we remain negative on Canara Bank and Bandhan Bank; neutral on Kotak Mahindra and ICICI Bank</li>
</ul>


Our profitability and credit quality screens were generally, in terms of credit quality metrics to end-December 2021, more constructive than the prior quarter, whilst core profitability signals improved slightly
The threat of worsening credit quality in the coming quarters is still real, in our view, with the financial difficulties of Future Retail indicating potential corporate credit quality deterioration
We like quality play HDFC Bank, turn constructive on State Bank of India and we remain negative on Canara Bank and Bandhan Bank; neutral on Kotak Mahindra and ICICI Bank


Indian Banks; Further Question Marks on Credit Quality

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<ul>
<li>SBI results were highly managed in FY 2Q22, and going forward it’s difficult for anyone to take both these results and this bank very seriously; </li>
<li>SBI reported FY 3Q22 results of INR 84.3 bn, improving INR 8.1 bn (10.6%) linked quarter. Volatility between loss provisions and operating expenses continued; and </li>
<li>Net new NPLs accelerated 18.5% annualized, and SBI’s reserves are short INR 568 tn – over five quarters of pre-tax results. </li>
</ul>


SBI results were highly managed in FY 2Q22, and going forward it’s difficult for anyone to take both these results and this bank very seriously; 
SBI reported FY 3Q22 results of INR 84.3 bn, improving INR 8.1 bn (10.6%) linked quarter. Volatility between loss provisions and operating expenses continued; and 
Net new NPLs accelerated 18.5% annualized, and SBI’s reserves are short INR 568 tn – over five quarters of pre-tax results. 


State Bank of India – Rules Don’t Apply

India

Canara Bank Ltd. provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury & NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities.

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Canara Bank (CBK IN)

Asian AT1s Part III – Picks on EM AT1s

In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia,...

CMB International

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Canara Bank (CBK) - Operating Performance Healthy; Loan Growth Gaining Traction

Canara Bank (CBK) reported a healthy performance with 19% YoY NII growth (3% beat) driven by 8bp margin expansion in 2QFY23.

Motilal Oswal

Indian Banks; Further Question Marks on Credit Quality

We still have NPL concerns on Indian banks; yet we like quality play HDFC Bank, turn positive on State Bank of India & we stay negative on Canara &...

Victor Galliano

State Bank of India – Rules Don’t Apply

SBI: It’s difficult for anyone to take this bank very seriously. SBI reported a QOQ FY 3Q22 results increase of 10.6%, as volatility between loss...

Thomas J. Monaco

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