FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

<p><em>The NZD/USD appears to have broken out of rising trend in place since mid-2015, and now developing a declining trend.  </em>Its<em> fall in the last week or so has been persistent and rapid, suggesting a significant shift in sentiment is taking hold. Global equity markets appear more fully priced for a stronger global economy and are now vulnerable to rising US interest rates and global yields. Similarly, demand for higher yielding currencies like NZD may fade.  Global commodity prices have turned lower in recent weeks, especially milk prices.  The NZD appears very expensive compared to its narrowed yield advantage.  In a rising global yield environment, the NZD may begin to under-perform and reconnect to its now small yield advantage.  High levels of household debt represent a higher risk for the New Zealand and Australian economies in a </em>rising<em> yield environment. There would be no tears shed by the RBNZ or NZ government if the NZD fell sharply from current levels. </em></p>

The NZD/USD appears to have broken out of rising trend in place since mid-2015, and now developing a declining trend.  Its fall in the last week or so has been persistent and rapid, suggesting a significant shift in sentiment is taking hold. Global equity markets appear more fully priced for a stronger global economy and are now vulnerable to rising US interest rates and global yields. Similarly, demand for higher yielding currencies like NZD may fade.  Global commodity prices have turned lower in recent weeks, especially milk prices.  The NZD appears very expensive compared to its narrowed yield advantage.  In a rising global yield environment, the NZD may begin to under-perform and reconnect to its now small yield advantage.  High levels of household debt represent a higher risk for the New Zealand and Australian economies in a rising yield environment. There would be no tears shed by the RBNZ or NZ government if the NZD fell sharply from current levels. 

From 20,000 Feet, NZD Looks Set to Free-Fall This Year, Without a Parachute

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Wednesday 1 March 2017</p><div><strong>USD rally sequence</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/Z96hDgpULaxr" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/Z96hDgpULaxr&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1488436094483000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFKjHZynmAF_btWsDTx_wCmsVi0mw">http://www.screencast.com/t/Z96hDgpULaxr</a> </strong>10:04 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/754/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1488349798" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21754"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>
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<strong>T-Note top in line with yield spike call</strong>. After a sharp drop in the T-Note price we touted from 125.60, we face an uptick sequence on any Trump disappointment given pattern support lies at 124.50. The real test comes with Yellen and NFP Friday. Again this rising wedge pattern implies a downside surprise in price action/upside surprise in yield in…</div>

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 1 March 2017USD rally sequenceTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/Z96hDgpULaxr 10:04 min.
FX webcast

T-Note top in line with yield spike call. After a sharp drop in the T-Note price we touted from 125.60, we face an uptick sequence on any Trump disappointment given pattern support lies at 124.50. The real test comes with Yellen and NFP Friday. Again this rising wedge pattern implies a downside surprise in price action/upside surprise in yield in…

USD Rally Sequence on Back of Yield Surprise

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Thursday 23 February 2017 </p><p><strong>Euro 1.05 inflection ripples-waves</strong></p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/douoFccY" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/douoFccY</a> </strong>13:10 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/423/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1487835674" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21423"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><strong>DXY </strong>– DXY failure to clear 101.80 was touted as the rejection level for a USD fade back to DXY 100. While we have yet to kiss the 100 support zone the second test on 101.80 in encouraging for the bulls but still calls for a tactical give back which must hold DXY 99 and would prefer to hold DXY 100 support. It aligns with Euro 1.05…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 23 February 2017 Euro 1.05 inflection ripples-wavesTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/douoFccY 13:10 min.FX webcastDXY – DXY failure to clear 101.80 was touted as the rejection level for a USD fade back to DXY 100. While we have yet to kiss the 100 support zone the second test on 101.80 in encouraging for the bulls but still calls for a tactical give back which must hold DXY 99 and would prefer to hold DXY 100 support. It aligns with Euro 1.05…

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Thursday 16 February 2017</p><p><strong>DXY 101.80 give back</strong><br><br>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/BtpGP9Col" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/BtpGP9Col&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1487370987082000&amp;usg=AFQjCNG7G2Yq1yHhCvKkwm-fn65kRLC05A">https://www.screencast.com/t/BtpGP9Col</a> </strong>13:47 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/072/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1487284656" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21072"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><strong>DXY </strong>– DXY failure to clear 101.80 sets a weaker tone for a pullback to re test 100 support given good inflation data/Yellen comments, the dollar should have been a touch stronger or at least able to hold gains. This bias opens the way for USD fade after reversing lower from 101.80 (ties in with Euro 1.05 major level)</p><p>USD is weaker versus a…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 16 February 2017DXY 101.80 give back  To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/BtpGP9Col 13:47 min.FX webcastDXY – DXY failure to clear 101.80 sets a weaker tone for a pullback to re test 100 support given good inflation data/Yellen comments, the dollar should have been a touch stronger or at least able to hold gains. This bias opens the way for USD fade after reversing lower from 101.80 (ties in with Euro 1.05 major level)USD is weaker versus a…

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Friday 10 February 2017</p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/dbfycouJ31dQ" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/dbfycouJ31dQ&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1486800850219000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFidyjVr3Hu2_wLsT8ySRdVD7XPOw">https://www.screencast.com/t/dbfycouJ31dQ</a> </strong>10:06 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/020/660/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1486714615" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="20660"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><strong>DXY </strong>– DXY bull breakout of descending wedge needs a burst of upside momentum above 100.33. DXY 101.80 is the level to clear for the dollar to gain traction. Targets remain at 104.15, 107 (next leg up target), 111 and 117. Our call to buy the USD below DXY 100 is starting to pan out but there are still some heavier trading currencies that need to participate in…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 10 February 2017To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/dbfycouJ31dQ 10:06 min.FX webcastDXY – DXY bull breakout of descending wedge needs a burst of upside momentum above 100.33. DXY 101.80 is the level to clear for the dollar to gain traction. Targets remain at 104.15, 107 (next leg up target), 111 and 117. Our call to buy the USD below DXY 100 is starting to pan out but there are still some heavier trading currencies that need to participate in…

Canada

The Canadian dollar is the official currency of Canada. 

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CAD (USDCAD CURNCY)

From 20,000 Feet, NZD Looks Set to Free-Fall This Year, Without a Parachute

The NZD/USD appears to have broken out of rising trend in place since mid-2015, and now developing a declining trend. Its fall in the last week or...

Greg Gibbs

USD Rally Sequence on Back of Yield Surprise

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 1 March 2017USD rally sequenceTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/Z96hDgpULaxr 10:04 min. T-Note...

Thomas Schroeder

Euro 1.05 Inflection Ripples

Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 23 February 2017 Euro 1.05 inflection ripples-wavesTo view click on this...

Thomas Schroeder

DXY 101.80 Give Back

Chartonics FX webcast Thursday 16 February 2017DXY 101.80 give backTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/BtpGP9Col 13:47 min.DXY...

Thomas Schroeder

USD Bull Turn Follow Through Levels

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 10 February 2017To view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/dbfycouJ31dQ 10:06 min.DXY – DXY bull...

Thomas Schroeder

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