ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> has legally completed the transaction to sell 75% of Tokopedia to TikTok, paving the way for higher growth and improving profitability, without the need to subsidise growth. </li>
<li>The company will continue to benefit from the new Tokopedia's core GMV growth without having to provide funding, with the benefit of a larger total addressable market. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> has achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in 4Q2023 beating expectations but financials should improve further in 2024 although resources will be focused on growing on-demand services, and especially food delivery.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) has legally completed the transaction to sell 75% of Tokopedia to TikTok, paving the way for higher growth and improving profitability, without the need to subsidise growth. 
The company will continue to benefit from the new Tokopedia's core GMV growth without having to provide funding, with the benefit of a larger total addressable market. 

GoTo has achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in 4Q2023 beating expectations but financials should improve further in 2024 although resources will be focused on growing on-demand services, and especially food delivery.


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: China's GDP growth, industrial production, and retail sales data</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-douyin-information-service-co-ltd-bytedance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: China's GDP growth, industrial production, and retail sales data

 Companies mentioned:Baidu (9888 HK), Tencent (700 HK), ByteDance (1439927D CH)



GEMWeekly (19 Jan 2024): China Macro; Baidu, Tencent, ByteDance

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Past week saw insights of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia (PRDA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pyridam-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12900:1" rel="noopener">Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The was also an insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thonburi-healthcare-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24386:1" rel="noopener">Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB)</a> and a sector piece looking at the beleaguered Vietnamese Real Estate sector. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past week saw insights of Prodia (PRDA IJ), Grab Holdings (GRAB US), XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ), and Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ).
The was also an insight on Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB) and a sector piece looking at the beleaguered Vietnamese Real Estate sector. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> senior management hosted an analyst call last week to provide further details on both the reasons behind the Tokopedia sale and the potential synergies and benefits of the move. </li>
<li>After the deal completes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> will cede all management control but will receive a revenue stream from core GTV, which excludes digital products and certain big-ticket items.</li>
<li>Plumbing for this deal effectively de-risks its exposure to e-commerce given it is not required to inject any new capital but it does take away future optionality on Tokpedia's growth.  </li>
</ul>



GoTo senior management hosted an analyst call last week to provide further details on both the reasons behind the Tokopedia sale and the potential synergies and benefits of the move. 
After the deal completes, GoTo will cede all management control but will receive a revenue stream from core GTV, which excludes digital products and certain big-ticket items.
Plumbing for this deal effectively de-risks its exposure to e-commerce given it is not required to inject any new capital but it does take away future optionality on Tokpedia's growth.  


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Plumbing for a More Certain Future

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>There have been several developments in the Southeast Asian e-commerce space over the past few days that we believe will have a negative impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a>’s financial performance.</li>
<li>A few days ago, TikTok, owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-douyin-information-service-co-ltd-bytedance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>, announced a $1.5bn investment in Tokopedia.</li>
<li>Today, Nikkei reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> has infused an additional $634m into Lazada, its Southeast Asia e-commerce unit, to enhance its competitive position in the face of escalating competition.</li>
</ul>


There have been several developments in the Southeast Asian e-commerce space over the past few days that we believe will have a negative impact on Sea (SE US)’s financial performance.
A few days ago, TikTok, owned by ByteDance (1439927D CH), announced a $1.5bn investment in Tokopedia.
Today, Nikkei reported that Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) has infused an additional $634m into Lazada, its Southeast Asia e-commerce unit, to enhance its competitive position in the face of escalating competition.


Sea Ltd: TikTok's Tokopedia Deal and Lazada's Financial Boost Raise Concerns

China

Beijing Douyin Information Service Co. Ltd. provides online information and contents. The Company develops and operates short video platform, original short video community, news platform, and other related products. Beijing Douyin Information Service offers services worldwide.

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ByteDance (1439927D CH)

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - Completing the Circle

GoTo (GOTO IJ) has legally completed the transaction to sell 75% of Tokopedia to TikTok, paving the way for higher growth and improving...

Angus Mackintosh

GEMWeekly (19 Jan 2024): China Macro; Baidu, Tencent, ByteDance

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Plumbing for a More Certain Future

GoTo senior management hosted an analyst call last week to provide further details on both the reasons behind the Tokopedia sale and the potential...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Ltd: TikTok's Tokopedia Deal and Lazada's Financial Boost Raise Concerns

Recent developments in Southeast Asian e-commerce, including TikTok's investment in Tokopedia and Alibaba's infusion of funds into Lazada, are...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - Completing the Circle

GoTo (GOTO IJ) has legally completed the transaction to sell 75% of Tokopedia to TikTok, paving the way for higher growth and improving...

Angus Mackintosh

GEMWeekly (19 Jan 2024): China Macro; Baidu, Tencent, ByteDance

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Plumbing for a More Certain Future

GoTo senior management hosted an analyst call last week to provide further details on both the reasons behind the Tokopedia sale and the potential...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Ltd: TikTok's Tokopedia Deal and Lazada's Financial Boost Raise Concerns

​Recent developments in Southeast Asian e-commerce, including TikTok's investment in Tokopedia and Alibaba's infusion of funds into Lazada, are...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Recent developments in Southeast Asian e-commerce, including TikTok's investment in Tokopedia and Alibaba's infusion of funds into Lazada, are...