Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Holdings (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. </li>
<li>While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexteer-automotive-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15483:1" rel="noopener">Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK)</a>, they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. </li>
</ul>


Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.

Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Holdings (2285 HK), and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. 
While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of Techtronic Industries (669 HK) and Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK), they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. 


China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.</li><li>We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.</li><li>For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

<ul><li>Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI server demand and broad-based general server recovery.</li><li>Based on Counterpoint data, 2Q24 global server revenue climbed 35% YoY to US$45.4mn, with AI server reaching 30% of the sales mix.</li><li>For 4Q24E, we expect most AI server names will continue to benefit from improved CoWoS supply and Hopper H200 ramp, while Blackwell (B200/GB200) AI servers will see shipments in small volume in late 4Q24 and bigger ramp in 1Q25E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI server demand and broad-based general server recovery.Based on Counterpoint data, 2Q24 global server revenue climbed 35% YoY to US$45.4mn, with AI server reaching 30% of the sales mix.For 4Q24E, we expect most AI server names will continue to benefit from improved CoWoS supply and Hopper H200 ramp, while Blackwell (B200/GB200) AI servers will see shipments in small volume in late 4Q24 and bigger ramp in 1Q25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - ODM/Brands Driven by H200/GB200 AI Server Ramp and General Sever Recovery

<ul><li>Largan (3008 TT, NR) announced 3Q results with revenue/GPM improved 73% and 1.8ppts QoQ thanks to the smartphone cycle, customers’ new model launches, shipment ramp-up, better product mix/ASP/UTR.</li><li>For 4Q24E/2025, mgmt. guided flattish Oct. shipments but Nov. shipments will decline MoM due to customers’ order cuts.</li><li>On the positive side, mgmt. maintained a positive view on stable ASP thanks to customer agreements, and pre-build orders for 1Q25E are well on track. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Largan (3008 TT, NR) announced 3Q results with revenue/GPM improved 73% and 1.8ppts QoQ thanks to the smartphone cycle, customers’ new model launches, shipment ramp-up, better product mix/ASP/UTR.For 4Q24E/2025, mgmt. guided flattish Oct. shipments but Nov. shipments will decline MoM due to customers’ order cuts.On the positive side, mgmt. maintained a positive view on stable ASP thanks to customer agreements, and pre-build orders for 1Q25E are well on track. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Implications of Largan 3Q24 Results

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market...

CMB International

Technology - ODM/Brands Driven by H200/GB200 AI Server Ramp and General Sever Recovery

Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI...

CMB International

Technology - Implications of Largan 3Q24 Results

On the positive side, mgmt. maintained a positive view on stable ASP thanks to customer agreements, and pre-build orders for 1Q25E are well on track.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

​US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market...

CMB International

Technology - ODM/Brands Driven by H200/GB200 AI Server Ramp and General Sever Recovery

Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI...

CMB International

Technology - Implications of Largan 3Q24 Results

On the positive side, mgmt. maintained a positive view on stable ASP thanks to customer agreements, and pre-build orders for 1Q25E are well on track.

CMB International

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...