Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Post market close tomorrow, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 7 June.</li>
<li>There were no constituent changes to the index in March. We highlight ten profitable and eligible stocks that could be added to the index in June.</li>
<li>Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to inclusions for the Information Technology industry while there could also be inclusions for the underweighted Healthcare industry.</li>
</ul>


Post market close tomorrow, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 7 June.
There were no constituent changes to the index in March. We highlight ten profitable and eligible stocks that could be added to the index in June.
Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to inclusions for the Information Technology industry while there could also be inclusions for the underweighted Healthcare industry.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BYDE’s 1Q24 rev/earnings growth of 38%/33% YoY is largely in-line, mainly driven by Android/Apple orders, Jabil’s component biz and steady NEV/ intelligent product businesses despite seasonality and CNY effects.</li><li>Looking into 2024, mgmt. remains positive on high-end Android recovery, Jabil synergy, high-end NEV and AI server ramp-up to drive earnings growth.</li><li>We slightly lowered FY24-26E EPS by 2-3% to factor in lower GPM and higher OPEX on amortization of intangible assets, and our FY24-26E EPS remain 2-12% above consensus. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE’s 1Q24 rev/earnings growth of 38%/33% YoY is largely in-line, mainly driven by Android/Apple orders, Jabil’s component biz and steady NEV/ intelligent product businesses despite seasonality and CNY effects.Looking into 2024, mgmt. remains positive on high-end Android recovery, Jabil synergy, high-end NEV and AI server ramp-up to drive earnings growth.We slightly lowered FY24-26E EPS by 2-3% to factor in lower GPM and higher OPEX on amortization of intangible assets, and our FY24-26E EPS remain 2-12% above consensus. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - 1Q24 Solid on Track; Android Recovery

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.</li>
<li>While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.
The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.
While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

<ul><li>We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.</li><li>For 4Q23, net profit delivered strong growth of 57% YoY. As stated in our note last week, we believe recent stock correction was mainly due to concerns on slower smartphone recovery in 1Q24, NEV biz price pressure and Jabil’s casing earnings uncertainties.</li><li>We believe market concern is overdone given 1) Huawei’s high-end model comeback likely to boost shipments and ASP hikes on titanium upgrade, 2) solid growth for NEV biz on new product ramp-up, parentco orders and new orders wins, and 3) sales synergies from Jabil’s acquisition. After recent correction, the stock now trades at 11.2x FY24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.For 4Q23, net profit delivered strong growth of 57% YoY. As stated in our note last week, we believe recent stock correction was mainly due to concerns on slower smartphone recovery in 1Q24, NEV biz price pressure and Jabil’s casing earnings uncertainties.We believe market concern is overdone given 1) Huawei’s high-end model comeback likely to boost shipments and ASP hikes on titanium upgrade, 2) solid growth for NEV biz on new product ramp-up, parentco orders and new orders wins, and 3) sales synergies from Jabil’s acquisition. After recent correction, the stock now trades at 11.2x FY24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - FY23 Positive Profit Alert Above Expectations

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Yealink Network Technology Corporation Limited operates as a communication equipment manufacturer. The Company provides telephones, unified communication terminals, video conferencing systems, conference phones, and other accessories. Yealink Network Technology serves customers worldwide.

Yealink Network Technology Cor (300628 CH)

Hengtong Optic-electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes optical fiber and optical cables.

Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Inc Co develops and provides communication products and services.  The Company's products and services include digital communication system, internet communication system, and global positioning system navigation receiver.

Guangzhou Haige Cmncts Grp Inc Co (002465 CH)

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets electronic components, telecommunication equipment, and electric machines. The Company produces capacitors, integrated circuits, electric resistors, wireless phones, visual phones, and other products. China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology also invests in real estate businesses.

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Tech (000733 CH)

Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures telecommunication products.  The Company's products include Integrated Broadband Access Systems (IBAS), fiber optics, fiber cables, wires, and products used in the DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) systems.

Shenzhen Sunway Communication Co., Ltd is mainly engaged in the development, production, marketing and technical support of mobile terminal antenna systems. The company's core products mobile terminal antennas can be applied in portable communications equipment such as mobile phones, laptops and netbooks.

Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides the location-based system integration, satellite navigation and positioning products and location-based information services.

Beijing Bdstar Navigation Co, Ltd. (002151 CH)

GCI Science & Technology Company Limited develops, designs, sells electronic and information products and provides related services. The Company's main products are communication system and integrated network engineering, network covering equipments, network access equipment and communication systems and equipments.

Ubiquiti Inc. provides wireless networking products and solutions. The Company offers radios, antennas, and management tools that have been designed to deliver carrier class performance for wireless networking and other applications in the unlicensed radio frequency. Ubiquiti operates in the State of New York.

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Juniper Networks, Inc. provides Internet infrastructure solutions for Internet service providers and other telecommunications service providers.  The Company offers network infrastructure solutions that includes IP routing, Ethernet switching, security and application acceleration solutions.

F5 Networks, Inc. provides integrated Internet traffic management solutions designed to improve the availability and performance of mission-critical Internet-based servers and applications.  The Company's software-based solutions manage, control and optimize Internet traffic and content.  F5's solutions automatically deliver Internet content for service providers and e-businesses.

Ciena Corporation develops and markets communications network platforms and software, and offers professional services.  The Company's broadband access, data and optical networking platforms, software tools, and global network services support worldwide telecom and cable/MSO services providers, and enterprise and government networks.

EchoStar Corporation manufactures broadcast satellite receivers and antennas, and offers commercial satellite services.

ITI Limited manufactures telecommunications products, including electronic switching equipment, telephones and related devices, digital radio, open wire bags, optical fiber equipment and digital exchanges.   The Group's customers include defense, railways and oil companies.

InterDigital, Inc. develops technology for advanced digital wireless telecommunications applications.  The Company offers both time division multiple access and wide band code division multiple access proprietary and standards compliant digital wireless technology to customers, licensees, and companies.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, supplies optical and photonic products. Lumentum Holdings serves data communications and telecommunications, networking, and life-sciences markets worldwide.

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June

The move to 100 constituents is expected to drag on into 2025. We highlight 10 stocks that could be considered for inclusion in the HSI in June....

Brian Freitas

BYDE (285 HK) - 1Q24 Solid on Track; Android Recovery

Looking into 2024, mgmt. remains positive on high-end Android recovery, Jabil synergy, high-end NEV and AI server ramp-up to drive earnings growth.

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

The index changes for the Hang Seng Index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. Although the index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BYDE (285 HK) - FY23 Positive Profit Alert Above Expectations

We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.

CMB International

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