Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 22nd November 2024.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2024.
The index changes for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 22nd November 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec 24: Special Focus on IT, Healthcare, and SOEs

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Holdings (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. </li>
<li>While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexteer-automotive-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15483:1" rel="noopener">Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK)</a>, they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. </li>
</ul>


Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.

Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Holdings (2285 HK), and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. 
While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of Techtronic Industries (669 HK) and Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK), they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. 


China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Dollar continues to trade at the strong end of its band  resulting in upward pressure on HIBOR in turn causing a further unwind of the HKD carry trade.</li>
<li>HSI shows the strongest market breadth in 15 years as nearly all members trade above 200 DMA.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtep-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18118:1" rel="noopener">Xtep International (1368 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a> all had breakouts to form uptrends.  All are part of the consumption sector in China
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Dollar continues to trade at the strong end of its band  resulting in upward pressure on HIBOR in turn causing a further unwind of the HKD carry trade.
HSI shows the strongest market breadth in 15 years as nearly all members trade above 200 DMA.

Xtep International (1368 HK) , Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and China Education Group (839 HK) all had breakouts to form uptrends.  All are part of the consumption sector in China



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

Price Gauge
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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec 24: Special Focus on IT, Healthcare, and SOEs

The HIGH conviction basket has been outperforming the Hang Seng index over the last few weeks. If you have not already initiated the trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

HKD strengthens, HIBOR moves higher and HK shorts become more expensive. HK market breadth reached its highest level in 15 years last week. Xtep,...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec 24: Special Focus on IT, Healthcare, and SOEs

The HIGH conviction basket has been outperforming the Hang Seng index over the last few weeks. If you have not already initiated the trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

​US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

HKD strengthens, HIBOR moves higher and HK shorts become more expensive. HK market breadth reached its highest level in 15 years last week. Xtep,...

David Mudd

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...