Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on 1 Jun 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 88% YoY (ranged from -26% to +146%) and 13% MoM (ranged from -8% to 38%) in May 2023.</li><li>Li Auto’s May sales more than doubled NIO and Xpeng combined.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on 1 Jun 2023.Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 88% YoY (ranged from -26% to +146%) and 13% MoM (ranged from -8% to 38%) in May 2023.Li Auto’s May sales more than doubled NIO and Xpeng combined.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – May NEV likely to hit second highest in history

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV) makers’ manufacturing qualifications.</li><li>The sector confronts an influx of inexperienced and ultimately unsuccessful firms amid the country’s push towards electrification.</li><li>The success of China’s EV industry has been widely viewed as the result of years of Beijing’s supportive policies, including the use of <a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2023-04-06/in-depth-why-should-beijing-reinstate-subsidies-for-auto-sales-102016072.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">subsidies</a> to spur demand, and instruments such as a strict permit system to better manage capacity.</li></ul>

Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV) makers’ manufacturing qualifications.The sector confronts an influx of inexperienced and ultimately unsuccessful firms amid the country’s push towards electrification.The success of China’s EV industry has been widely viewed as the result of years of Beijing’s supportive policies, including the use of subsidies to spur demand, and instruments such as a strict permit system to better manage capacity.

China’s EV Industry Calls on Regulators to Curb the Back-Seat Driving

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Investment levels in BYD Company Limited H Shares have reached record highs among active Emerging Market funds.</li>
<li>On a fund level, between 10/31/2022 and 04/30/2023, 22 funds opened new positions in BYD, led by Vontobel MTX Sustainable (+2.4%) and Putnam Emerging Markets (+1.95%).</li>
<li>BYD has risen up the ranks to become the most widely held and largest weight in the autos sector, surpassing Kia Corp and Mahindra &amp; Mahindra over the last 2-years.</li>
</ul>


Investment levels in BYD Company Limited H Shares have reached record highs among active Emerging Market funds.
On a fund level, between 10/31/2022 and 04/30/2023, 22 funds opened new positions in BYD, led by Vontobel MTX Sustainable (+2.4%) and Putnam Emerging Markets (+1.95%).
BYD has risen up the ranks to become the most widely held and largest weight in the autos sector, surpassing Kia Corp and Mahindra &amp; Mahindra over the last 2-years.


BYD Company: Moves to Top Auto Holding in EM

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Tobacco / Cover Story: China’s tobacco monopoly is swept up in corruption probes</li><li>Workers / Eastern province eases upper age limit for construction workers amid labor shortage</li><li>Moon / China plans first crewed moon landing by 2030</li></ul>

Tobacco / Cover Story: China’s tobacco monopoly is swept up in corruption probesWorkers / Eastern province eases upper age limit for construction workers amid labor shortageMoon / China plans first crewed moon landing by 2030

CX Daily: China’s Tobacco Monopoly Is Swept Up in Corruption Probes

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

Screening for GEMs: June 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

China Auto Sector – May NEV likely to hit second highest in history

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on...

CMB International

China’s EV Industry Calls on Regulators to Curb the Back-Seat Driving

Auto experts and industry executives in China are calling on regulators to explore a market-based approach to governing electric-vehicle (EV)...

Caixin Global

BYD Company: Moves to Top Auto Holding in EM

After years of being an avoided stock, GEM active managers are ramping up allocations to BYD. Recent fund rotation has pushed exposure to its...

Steven Holden

CX Daily: China’s Tobacco Monopoly Is Swept Up in Corruption Probes

Cover Story: China’s tobacco monopoly is swept up in corruption probes. Eastern province eases upper age limit for construction workers amid labor...

Caixin Global

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