External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast.</li><li>Such beat was offset by higher-thanexpected SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses.</li><li>The solid gross margin gives us more confidence in forecasting 4Q24 and FY25 sales volume, as BYD still has the best resources to withstand the prolonged price war.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast.Such beat was offset by higher-thanexpected SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses.The solid gross margin gives us more confidence in forecasting 4Q24 and FY25 sales volume, as BYD still has the best resources to withstand the prolonged price war.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - 3Q24 GPM Provides Confidence for FY25 Sales

<ul><li>We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&amp;D expenses.</li><li>We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast to 4.3mn units, as BYD’s new PHEV models are more competitive than we had expected.</li><li>We believe its solid earnings quality could continue in FY25E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&amp;D expenses.We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast to 4.3mn units, as BYD’s new PHEV models are more competitive than we had expected.We believe its solid earnings quality could continue in FY25E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Solid Sales, Earnings Outlook Despite Mixed 2Q

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.</li><li>BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.</li><li>Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

<ul><li>Although BYD’s 4Q23 gross margin narrowed 0.9ppt QoQ, its earnings quality remained high.</li><li>We revise down our FY24E sales volume by 3% to 3.6mn units and net profit by 16% to RMB33.0bn amid stiffer-than-expected competition.</li><li>Nevertheless, we are of the view that BYD’s FY24E earnings could be resilient aided by overseas expansion, more premium products and little financial burden from FY23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although BYD’s 4Q23 gross margin narrowed 0.9ppt QoQ, its earnings quality remained high.We revise down our FY24E sales volume by 3% to 3.6mn units and net profit by 16% to RMB33.0bn amid stiffer-than-expected competition.Nevertheless, we are of the view that BYD’s FY24E earnings could be resilient aided by overseas expansion, more premium products and little financial burden from FY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Good FY23 Earnings Quality

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

BYD (1211 HK) - 3Q24 GPM Provides Confidence for FY25 Sales

Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast. Such beat was offset by higher...

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK) - Solid Sales, Earnings Outlook Despite Mixed 2Q

We raise FY25E net profit by 10% to RMB36.2bn by lifting sales volume forecast and cutting R&D expenses. We also raise FY25E sales volume forecast...

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK) - Good FY23 Earnings Quality

We believe that investors are likely to prefer EV makers with solid earnings, as they are more likely to withstand the rising competition.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

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