IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO (NIO US)</a> is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. </li>
<li>NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  </li>
<li>NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. </li>
</ul>



NIO (NIO US) is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. 
NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  
NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. 


2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> overtook <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> as the largest EV maker by deliveries in December 2023.</li>
<li>Tesla is suspending work at its Berlin factory temporarily due to the tension in the Red Sea, while BYD’s supply chain is all in China.</li>
<li>BYD is trading at deep discount to Tesla on PEG, PER, and PBR.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) overtook Tesla Motors (TSLA US) as the largest EV maker by deliveries in December 2023.
Tesla is suspending work at its Berlin factory temporarily due to the tension in the Red Sea, while BYD’s supply chain is all in China.
BYD is trading at deep discount to Tesla on PEG, PER, and PBR.


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Chinese NEV (new energy vehicle) producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023.</li>
<li>PDD closed most “local life” businesses, including hotel booking, movie ticketing, etc.</li>
<li>Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay, the largest online payment app.</li>
</ul>


Chinese NEV (new energy vehicle) producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023.
PDD closed most “local life” businesses, including hotel booking, movie ticketing, etc.
Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay, the largest online payment app.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.5bn of A-shares on lighter average activity. BIG net selling flows on the first day of the year for HK going north.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.5bn of A-shares on lighter average activity. BIG net selling flows on the first day of the year for HK going north.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024): Big Names Sold, Banks Bought

<ul>
<li>BYD’s sales volume grew by 45% YoY in December, higher than 31% YoY in November.</li>
<li>For the whole year 2023, BYD's total sales volume rose by 62%.</li>
<li>We conclude the stock has an upside of 74% for 2024.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s sales volume grew by 45% YoY in December, higher than 31% YoY in November.
For the whole year 2023, BYD's total sales volume rose by 62%.
We conclude the stock has an upside of 74% for 2024.


BYD (1211 HK): Sales Volume Up by 62% in 2023

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in...

Arun George

BYD Vs Tesla: Part Deux

BYD surpasses Tesla as top EV maker in Dec 2023; Tesla suspends work in Berlin due to Red Sea tension; BYD trades at a deep discount to Tesla on...

Henry Soediarko

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

Chinese NEV producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023. PDD closed most “local life” businesses. Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay.

Ming Lu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024): Big Names Sold, Banks Bought

NORTHBOUND saw some outflow in the first week after a huge net buy the last week of the year. Large cap liquid names KM and CATL were sold. Banks...

Travis Lundy

BYD (1211 HK): Sales Volume Up by 62% in 2023

BYD’s sales volume grew by 45% YoY in December, higher than 31% YoY in November. For the whole year 2023, total sales volume rose by 62%. We...

Ming Lu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in...

Arun George

BYD Vs Tesla: Part Deux

​BYD surpasses Tesla as top EV maker in Dec 2023; Tesla suspends work in Berlin due to Red Sea tension; BYD trades at a deep discount to Tesla on...

Henry Soediarko

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

Chinese NEV producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023. PDD closed most “local life” businesses. Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay.

Ming Lu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024): Big Names Sold, Banks Bought

NORTHBOUND saw some outflow in the first week after a huge net buy the last week of the year. Large cap liquid names KM and CATL were sold. Banks...

Travis Lundy

BYD (1211 HK): Sales Volume Up by 62% in 2023

BYD’s sales volume grew by 45% YoY in December, higher than 31% YoY in November. For the whole year 2023, total sales volume rose by 62%. We...

Ming Lu

BYD surpasses Tesla as top EV maker in Dec 2023; Tesla suspends work in Berlin due to Red Sea tension; BYD trades at a deep discount to Tesla on...