Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

British American Tobacco  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The latest earnings presentation from British American Tobacco (BAT) provided an in-depth view of the company’s performance and strategic approaches amidst its significant transitory phase.</li><li>BAT is navigating through a challenging market landscape, marked by robust investments in transformation and innovation, particularly aimed to strengthen their U.S. business and accelerate new category offerings globally.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

The latest earnings presentation from British American Tobacco (BAT) provided an in-depth view of the company’s performance and strategic approaches amidst its significant transitory phase.BAT is navigating through a challenging market landscape, marked by robust investments in transformation and innovation, particularly aimed to strengthen their U.S. business and accelerate new category offerings globally.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Strategic Investments in Heated Products & Modern Oral Products Driving Growth! - Major Drivers

Podcast by Dom Cooke to explore big businesses, Business Breakdowns

Business Breakdowns

Podcast by Dom Cooke to explore big businesses

Learn how companies work from the people who know them best. We do deep research and interview industry veterans, investment professionals, and corporate executives to explain the inner workings of public stocks and private businesses. For each company, we break down their history, business model, financial statements, secret sauce, and bull/bear case. We believe every business has lessons to teach us and Breakdowns is here to highlight them. Learn more and stay up to date at www.joincolossus.com.

<ul><li>Business Breakdowns podcast covers British American Tobacco with guest Evan Tindall</li><li>British American Tobacco primarily sells tobacco, with significant presence in the US, Europe, and Asia</li><li>Company's profits are more weighted towards the US market</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Business Breakdowns podcast covers British American Tobacco with guest Evan TindallBritish American Tobacco primarily sells tobacco, with significant presence in the US, Europe, and AsiaCompany's profits are more weighted towards the US marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

British American Tobacco: Clearing the Air - [Business Breakdowns, EP.162]

<ul><li>The British American Tobacco (BAT) 2023 preliminary results show solid financial performance conforming to the guidance despite prevailing headwinds.</li><li>BAT's global footprint continues to offer resilient results through steady performance in Africa, the Middle East, Asia Pacific Middle East, and Africa, even as it counters performance in the U.S. The company marked a 3.1% increase in both revenue and profit from operations, with diluted EPS surging by 5.2%.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

The British American Tobacco (BAT) 2023 preliminary results show solid financial performance conforming to the guidance despite prevailing headwinds.BAT's global footprint continues to offer resilient results through steady performance in Africa, the Middle East, Asia Pacific Middle East, and Africa, even as it counters performance in the U.S. The company marked a 3.1% increase in both revenue and profit from operations, with diluted EPS surging by 5.2%.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

British American Tobacco: Innovation in Heated Tobacco & Expansion Of The GLO Range Could Propel Them Forward! - Major Drivers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.</li>
<li>Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.</li>
<li>At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.</li>
</ul>


Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.
Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.
At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.


Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.</li>
<li>Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.
Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."


Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

United Kingdom

British American Tobacco P.L.C. operates as a holding company for a group of companies that manufactures, markets, and sells cigarettes and other tobacco products including cigars and roll-your-own tobacco.

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British American Tobacco (BTI US)

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Strategic Investments in Heated Products & Modern Oral Products Driving Growth! - Major Drivers

The latest earnings presentation from British American Tobacco (BAT) provided an in-depth view of the company’s performance and strategic...

Baptista Research

British American Tobacco: Clearing the Air - [Business Breakdowns, EP.162]

Business Breakdowns podcast covers British American Tobacco with guest Evan Tindall. British American Tobacco primarily sells tobacco, with...

Business Breakdowns

British American Tobacco: Innovation in Heated Tobacco & Expansion Of The GLO Range Could Propel Them Forward! - Major Drivers

The British American Tobacco (BAT) 2023 preliminary results show solid financial performance conforming to the guidance despite prevailing...

Baptista Research

Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

Upgrading Staples $XLP, Real Estate $XLRE, Health Care $XLV to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow; Dow $DJI, Equal-Weight S&P 500 $RSP,...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

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