Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-June. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>We see 6 stocks where there could be passive inflows and 2 stocks that could have passive outflows - but there are caveats.</li>
</ul>


Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-June. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.
We see 6 stocks where there could be passive inflows and 2 stocks that could have passive outflows - but there are caveats.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)</li><li>Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation</li><li>The FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spending</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Underlying volume CAGR to sustain revenue to grow by 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/11% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q1FY24 (vs 23/10% in Q1FY23 and 9/9% in Q4FY23)Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectationThe FMCG sector is expected to witness a gradual recovery in demand led by moderating inflation improving consumer confidence and an increase in government spendingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. </li>
<li>The sale is being done so as to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.</li>
<li>We have looked at the background of the deal in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the recent update and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. 
The sale is being done so as to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.
We have looked at the background of the deal in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the recent update and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Patanjali Foods FPO - Very Well Flagged with a Decent Discount

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q1FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Sequential improvement in high-frequency indicators, 3) Cool-off in key commodity prices, 4) Easing inflation expectations, and 5) Growth challenges in export-oriented demand.</li></ul><div><ul><li>Moreover, domestic-facing sectors are enjoying economic recovery as well.</li><li>Considering these factors collectively, the Q1FY24 earnings season is likely to deliver positive surprises on the margins front. </li></ul></div>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Sequential improvement in high-frequency indicators, 3) Cool-off in key commodity prices, 4) Easing inflation expectations, and 5) Growth challenges in export-oriented demand.Moreover, domestic-facing sectors are enjoying economic recovery as well.Considering these factors collectively, the Q1FY24 earnings season is likely to deliver positive surprises on the margins front. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>Uttarakhand, a state in northern India, is known for its stunning landscapes, pilgrimage sites, and the title "Land of the Gods."</li>
<li>Despite the potential for tourism development, there are challenges in infrastructure, including transportation networks, accommodations, and bureaucratic processes.</li>
<li>The holiday trip, including being stuck in a landslide with limited connectivity, transformed us, enhancing personal growth, analytical skills, and commitment to serving investor clients.</li>
</ul>


Uttarakhand, a state in northern India, is known for its stunning landscapes, pilgrimage sites, and the title "Land of the Gods."
Despite the potential for tourism development, there are challenges in infrastructure, including transportation networks, accommodations, and bureaucratic processes.
The holiday trip, including being stuck in a landslide with limited connectivity, transformed us, enhancing personal growth, analytical skills, and commitment to serving investor clients.


Postcard from Uttarakhand | The Landslide Edition

India

Britannia Industries Limited manufactures bakery products such as biscuits, bread, cakes and rusks.  The Company also manufactures and exports soybean products, cashew kernels, marine products, and general merchandise items.

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Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)

India - Potential Float Changes & Impact

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

FMCG & Alco Bev - Slow Pick-Up in Growth, Margin Expansion to Continue

Continuing from previous quarters the demand environment remained stable led by urban markets while rural recovery was below expectation

HDFC Securities

Patanjali Foods FPO - Very Well Flagged with a Decent Discount

The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Q1FY24 Consolidated Preview

Considering these factors collectively, the Q1FY24 earnings season is likely to deliver positive surprises on the margins front.

Axis Direct

Postcard from Uttarakhand | The Landslide Edition

India's tourism infrastructure challenges, life-changing trip despite setbacks like landslides. It fostered personal growth, analytical skills,...

Pranav Bhavsar

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