Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.</li>
<li>Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.</li>
<li>Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.
Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.
Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.


[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.</li>
<li>Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.</li>
<li>Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.
Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.
Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.


Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Panama Canal and Suez Canal are critical corridors underpinning global trade. &gt;50% of containers from Asia into America cross either through Panama or Suez.</li>
<li>Affected by El Niño, Panama Canal's capacity has shrunk to 25/day crossings &amp; risks falling to 18/day by February next year from an average of 36/day given shrinking water levels.</li>
<li>Given Europe’s higher sensitivity to geopolitics, European Natural Gas &amp; Crude Oil prices have reacted more wildly and have jumped sharply relative to US Gas and Oil prices.</li>
</ul>


Panama Canal and Suez Canal are critical corridors underpinning global trade. &gt;50% of containers from Asia into America cross either through Panama or Suez.
Affected by El Niño, Panama Canal's capacity has shrunk to 25/day crossings &amp; risks falling to 18/day by February next year from an average of 36/day given shrinking water levels.
Given Europe’s higher sensitivity to geopolitics, European Natural Gas &amp; Crude Oil prices have reacted more wildly and have jumped sharply relative to US Gas and Oil prices.


War and Weather Choking Supply Chains and Risks Spooking Inflation

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (2007986D HK)</a> raised around US$151m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (2007986D HK) raised around US$151m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Tuhu Car IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription, Small Float Could Impact Trading

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (2007986D HK)</a>, a leading integrated online and offline platform for automotive service in China, has launched its HKEx IPO at a price range of HK$28.00-31.00 per share.</li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tuhu-car-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112644" rel="noopener">TUHU Car IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the investment case. In this note, we present our forecasts and discuss valuation.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that Tuhu is reasonably priced at the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO. </li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (2007986D HK), a leading integrated online and offline platform for automotive service in China, has launched its HKEx IPO at a price range of HK$28.00-31.00 per share.
In TUHU Car IPO: The Investment Case, we highlighted the key elements of the investment case. In this note, we present our forecasts and discuss valuation.
Our valuation analysis suggests that Tuhu is reasonably priced at the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO. 


United Kingdom

BP plc is an oil and petrochemicals company.  The Company explores for and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals.  BP's chemicals include terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene and polyethylene.

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BP PLC (BP/ LN)

[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

OPEC+ meeting outcomes failed to support oil prices. Hotter-than-expected US summer and outages in Norway sent gas prices soaring. BP & Exxon...

Mint Finance

Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.

Clarence Chu

War and Weather Choking Supply Chains and Risks Spooking Inflation

Conflicts are intensifying in the Red Sea. US and UK launched about 70 airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen. Houthis vows to respond and asserts...

Mint Finance

Tuhu Car IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription, Small Float Could Impact Trading

Tuhu Car (2007986D HK) raised around US$151m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note,...

Clarence Chu

TUHU Car IPO: Valuation Insights

Tuhu has launched its HKEx IPO at a price range of HK$28.00-31.00 per share. Our valuation analysis suggests that Tuhu is reasonably priced at the...

Arun George

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