External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.</li><li>While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.</li><li>We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.</li>
<li>We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. </li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.
We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. 
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We hosted an investor call with BOE Varitronix during our Corporate Day on 1 Dec.</li><li>BOEVx’s strong 1H22 revenue/net profit growth of 51%/164% YoY was mainly driven by solid demand of auto display module, mass production of new capacity and ASP hike of auto display products.</li><li>Net margin improved 2.2ppts HoH given operating leverage and economies of scale.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We hosted an investor call with BOE Varitronix during our Corporate Day on 1 Dec.BOEVx’s strong 1H22 revenue/net profit growth of 51%/164% YoY was mainly driven by solid demand of auto display module, mass production of new capacity and ASP hike of auto display products.Net margin improved 2.2ppts HoH given operating leverage and economies of scale.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BOE Varitronix (710 HK) – Chengdu Auto Display Plant to Drive Growth in FY23E

<ul>
<li>We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.</li>
<li>Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.
Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.</li><li>We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.</li><li>We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Emerging Opportunities to Accumulate Quality Names in AR/VR

Hong Kong

BOE Varitronix Limited designs, manufactures, and sells small-to-medium sized LCDs (liquid crystal displays) and related products. The Company offers displays for dashboards, clock, rear seat, power meter, washing machines, ovens, blood glucose meters, dental instruments, and label printers. BOE Vanitronix markets its products worldwide.

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BOE Varitronix (710 HK)

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

We forecast 44 adds/19 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 37 adds/deletes for Southbound Stock Connect. There could be more Connect changes...

Brian Freitas