Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited / Event-Driven

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.</li>
<li>Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.
Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. </li>
<li>The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.</li>
<li>While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.</li>
</ul>



Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. 
The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.
While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.


Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermax-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4578:1" rel="noopener">Thermax (TMX IN)</a> recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.</li>
<li>The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.</li>
<li>The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  </li>
</ul>


In Q2FY23, Thermax (TMX IN) recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.
The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.
The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  


Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>UCP Segment Update: RAC business recorded 47% YoY growth in 4QFY22. BSTAR grew faster than the market and ended FY22 with a market share of 13.25% vs 13% in FY21.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>EMPS and Commercial AC segment update: Carry forward order book at the end of FY22 was up 10.2% YoY at Rs32.53bn.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Net debt and capital employed position: Net borrowings at the end of FY22 were Rs671.4mn (vs net cash position of Rs1.51bn at the end of FY21) due to planned advancement in inventory levels related to the procurement of long-lead raw materials and components in order to de-risk supply chain constraints and investments in expansion projects at Wada &amp; Sri City.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

UCP Segment Update: RAC business recorded 47% YoY growth in 4QFY22. BSTAR grew faster than the market and ended FY22 with a market share of 13.25% vs 13% in FY21.EMPS and Commercial AC segment update: Carry forward order book at the end of FY22 was up 10.2% YoY at Rs32.53bn.Net debt and capital employed position: Net borrowings at the end of FY22 were Rs671.4mn (vs net cash position of Rs1.51bn at the end of FY21) due to planned advancement in inventory levels related to the procurement of long-lead raw materials and components in order to de-risk supply chain constraints and investments in expansion projects at Wada &amp; Sri City.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Blue Star - Result Above Expectations; Expect Margin Improvement in FY23

India

Blue Star Limited manufactures and markets a wide range of air-conditioning and commercial refrigeration systems and products. The Company's products include large central air-conditioning plants, packaged air-conditioning systems, split and window air conditioners, water coolers, bottled water dispensers, deep freezers and cold storages.

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Blue Star Ltd (BLSTR IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Voltas is losing market share due to irrational competition, capex can help regain volumes. However, better to wait until the industry structure...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

In Q2FY23, Thermax reported 41% revenue growth, while the company’s order book jumped 46%. However, inflationary pressures are expected to impact...

Tina Banerjee

Blue Star - Result Above Expectations; Expect Margin Improvement in FY23

Blue Star (BLSTR) reported healthy consolidated revenue of Rs22.5bn, up 39.5% YoY (13.9%/20.4% above our/consensus estimates).

Nirmal Bang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Voltas is losing market share due to irrational competition, capex can help regain volumes. However, better to wait until the industry structure...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

In Q2FY23, Thermax reported 41% revenue growth, while the company’s order book jumped 46%. However, inflationary pressures are expected to impact...

Tina Banerjee

Blue Star - Result Above Expectations; Expect Margin Improvement in FY23

Blue Star (BLSTR) reported healthy consolidated revenue of Rs22.5bn, up 39.5% YoY (13.9%/20.4% above our/consensus estimates).

Nirmal Bang

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...