Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a performance led by a 62% gain in revenues through September 30th, the company can now expect a steady rise in tourist arrivals.</li>
<li>Bloomberry is a pure play in the Philippines gaming market and is well positioned both in VIP and mass market segements.</li>
<li>China, Hong Kong, Japan, Indonesia, UAE among 44 nations now open to Philippine tourism, Expect cross border revenue to move north as steady flow of revenues rise.</li>
</ul>


After a performance led by a 62% gain in revenues through September 30th, the company can now expect a steady rise in tourist arrivals.
Bloomberry is a pure play in the Philippines gaming market and is well positioned both in VIP and mass market segements.
China, Hong Kong, Japan, Indonesia, UAE among 44 nations now open to Philippine tourism, Expect cross border revenue to move north as steady flow of revenues rise.


Asia Gaming: Bloomberry Resorts of Manila Set to Move on News of Open Borders

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The Philippines Stock Exchange has announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> as part of the August rebalance.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/converge-ict-solutions-inc-609f7498-aeeb-430e-a07d-50503172a1e3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31210:1" rel="noopener">Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM)</a> have been added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> have been deleted.There are minimal assets tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>. However, there are active funds using the index as a benchmark and some of the funds track the benchmark pretty closely. The impact is clearly visible today with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> lower by 9.5% and 5%, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/converge-ict-solutions-inc-609f7498-aeeb-430e-a07d-50503172a1e3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31210:1" rel="noopener">Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM)</a> are up 4% and 13% respectively.We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM)</a> as an inclusion and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> as a deletion. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> was a close delete. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/converge-ict-solutions-inc-609f7498-aeeb-430e-a07d-50503172a1e3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31210:1" rel="noopener">Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM)</a> was added following a rule change that was announced and implemented at the same time as the constituent changes and that resulted in the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> as well.There are also some rule changes related minimum free float, to Fast Entry for stocks, and to the inclusion/exclusion cutoff rankings at the regular rebalances.

The Philippines Stock Exchange has announced the changes to the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) as part of the August rebalance.AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM) and Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM) have been added to the index while Emperador Inc (EMP PM) and DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) have been deleted.There are minimal assets tracking the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX). However, there are active funds using the index as a benchmark and some of the funds track the benchmark pretty closely. The impact is clearly visible today with Emperador Inc (EMP PM) and DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) lower by 9.5% and 5%, while AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM) and Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM) are up 4% and 13% respectively.We had AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM) as an inclusion and Emperador Inc (EMP PM) as a deletion. DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) was a close delete. Converge ICT Solutions (CNVRG PM) was added following a rule change that was announced and implemented at the same time as the constituent changes and that resulted in the deletion of DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) as well.There are also some rule changes related minimum free float, to Fast Entry for stocks, and to the inclusion/exclusion cutoff rankings at the regular rebalances.

PCOMP Index Rebalance: ACEN, CNVRG Added; EMP, DMCI Deleted

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> is the main index of the Philippines Stock Exchange (PSE). The index is free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 30 largest and most active common stocks listed at the PSE.The next rebalance will become effective in mid-August and the changes will be announced around 5 trading days prior to implementation.We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM)</a> as a likely inclusion in the index. Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> on liquidity and possibly free float and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> as the lowest ranked index constituent.There are minimal assets tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>. However, there are active funds using the index as a benchmark and some of the funds track the benchmark pretty closely. Historically, the adds have performed well in the period leading up to implementation.

The Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) is the main index of the Philippines Stock Exchange (PSE). The index is free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 30 largest and most active common stocks listed at the PSE.The next rebalance will become effective in mid-August and the changes will be announced around 5 trading days prior to implementation.We see AC Energy Corp (ACEN PM) as a likely inclusion in the index. Potential deletions are Emperador Inc (EMP PM) on liquidity and possibly free float and DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) as the lowest ranked index constituent.There are minimal assets tracking the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX). However, there are active funds using the index as a benchmark and some of the funds track the benchmark pretty closely. Historically, the adds have performed well in the period leading up to implementation.

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Fairly Certain; Deletion Undecided

Asia gaming and consumer discretionary analyst

Michael Ting

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Despite the recent relaxation in travel visas to Macau from the Mainland, the recovery in sector revenues has been weaker than expected. Headwinds such as increased government scrutiny on capital outflow has likely hurt gaming sentiment demand from higher spending VIP and premium mass players. We expect these trends to continue and hence believe that Macau gaming stocks could underperform in the near term. However, beneficiaries of the capital outflow restrictions could boost domestic luxury demand and benefit stocks such as Chow Tai Fook whose share price is +17% MTD vs. -7% for the Hang Seng Index.

Despite the recent relaxation in travel visas to Macau from the Mainland, the recovery in sector revenues has been weaker than expected. Headwinds such as increased government scrutiny on capital outflow has likely hurt gaming sentiment demand from higher spending VIP and premium mass players. We expect these trends to continue and hence believe that Macau gaming stocks could underperform in the near term. However, beneficiaries of the capital outflow restrictions could boost domestic luxury demand and benefit stocks such as Chow Tai Fook whose share price is +17% MTD vs. -7% for the Hang Seng Index.

Macau: If It's Not One Thing, It's Another

Despite the significant slowdown in gaming revenues from the lack of tourism arrivals, we forecast Bloomberry to achieve EBITDA break-even by 4Q20 due to cost rationalization measures coupled with a gradual increase in local play. Bloomberry's EBITDA recovery could outpace that of its Macau peers assuming COVID-19 is contained within the Philippines.

Despite the significant slowdown in gaming revenues from the lack of tourism arrivals, we forecast Bloomberry to achieve EBITDA break-even by 4Q20 due to cost rationalization measures coupled with a gradual increase in local play. Bloomberry's EBITDA recovery could outpace that of its Macau peers assuming COVID-19 is contained within the Philippines.

Bloomberry Resorts: Stronger EBITDA Recovery than Macau?

Philippines

Bloomberry Resorts Corp is a holding company for its subsidiaries which provide lodging and leisure services. The Subsidiaries operates and develops, tourist facilities, casinos, and hotel and amusement-themed projects.

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Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)

Asia Gaming: Bloomberry Resorts of Manila Set to Move on News of Open Borders

The Philippine government announced last week that it was opening its borders to 44 nations including key tourist feeders in Asia. Its 9th month...

Howard J Klein

PCOMP Index Rebalance: ACEN, CNVRG Added; EMP, DMCI Deleted

ACEN and CNVRG have been added to the index replacing EMP and DMC. Historically inclusions have outperformed the deletions. There are rule changes...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Fairly Certain; Deletion Undecided

We see ACEN being included and EMP being deleted from the PCOMP at the August rebalance. Inclusions have historically performed well while the...

Brian Freitas

Macau: If It's Not One Thing, It's Another

The recovery in

Michael Ting

Bloomberry Resorts: Stronger EBITDA Recovery than Macau?

Despite the significant slowdown in gaming revenues from int

Michael Ting

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