Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> has announced that the public float of the stock will drop to 2.78% following the Tender Offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> shares are expected to be suspended from 26 September. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a> on 25 September.</li>
<li>There will be large passive inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> as well as flows from active managers that track the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a>.</li>
</ul>



Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) has announced that the public float of the stock will drop to 2.78% following the Tender Offer.

Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) shares are expected to be suspended from 26 September. That could see Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) added to the PCOMP INDEX on 25 September.
There will be large passive inflows to Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) as well as flows from active managers that track the PCOMP INDEX.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

<ul>
<li>Based on data to the close on 27 April, we do not expect any changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> at the August rebalance.</li>
<li>However, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> tender offer and voluntary delisting will open up an index spot that will need to be filled.</li>
<li>At the current time, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> is the highest ranked non-index constituent and is the most likely replacement.</li>
</ul>


Based on data to the close on 27 April, we do not expect any changes to the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) at the August rebalance.
However, the Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) tender offer and voluntary delisting will open up an index spot that will need to be filled.
At the current time, Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) is the highest ranked non-index constituent and is the most likely replacement.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Tender Offer Opens Up an Index Spot

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last August 13th we urged investors to take a hard look at the spurt in the Philippine gaming market as soon as covid related shutdowns ended. Bloomberry traded at 7.1php.</li>
<li>We reiterated our bullish view this past November 13th at 9.7php.</li>
<li>Price at writing has fallen back to 7.50 indicates that conviction in the Philippine gaming recovery has not yet been recognized by investors in the space.</li>
</ul>


Last August 13th we urged investors to take a hard look at the spurt in the Philippine gaming market as soon as covid related shutdowns ended. Bloomberry traded at 7.1php.
We reiterated our bullish view this past November 13th at 9.7php.
Price at writing has fallen back to 7.50 indicates that conviction in the Philippine gaming recovery has not yet been recognized by investors in the space.


Bloomberry Resorts: Flagging the Philippine Casino Market's Fastest Recovery in All of Asia

<ul>
<li>From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> increases from 15% to 20%.</li>
<li>This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.</li>
<li>The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


From December 2022, the minimum free float requirement to be a part of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) increases from 15% to 20%.
This could result in three deletions from the index which will result in three stocks being added to the index. Passive trackers selling the deletes will push the stocks lower.
The three current constituents could remain in the index if they sell stock to increase the free float. That would in turn put downward pressure on the stocks.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

Contextualizing EM Investment Opportunities, Pyramids and Pagodas

Pyramids and Pagodas

Contextualizing EM Investment Opportunities

Established in 2022, Pyramids and Pagodas aims to cover underreported trends and companies across emerging markets (“EM”), with a particular focus on Asia and the Middle East. Our content targets a broad audience of investors and anyone seeking to capitalize on or learn more about undervalued investment opportunities in these regions. We have skin in the game for these ideas with a view to build a strong track record with demonstrable returns in the long run.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In the vibrant Philippine gaming industry, we found one casino operator particularly poised to capitalize on the growth story.</li><li>With higher growth rates, less competition, and lower taxes than Macau, now may be an opportune moment for value investors looking to cash in on the gaming boom.</li><li>With a strategic focus on expansion, the operator opened another casino this year in Quezon City, which looks set to be a major driver of group revenues over the few years should it follow a similar growth trajectory to the group’s flagship property in Entertainment City.</li></ul>

In the vibrant Philippine gaming industry, we found one casino operator particularly poised to capitalize on the growth story.With higher growth rates, less competition, and lower taxes than Macau, now may be an opportune moment for value investors looking to cash in on the gaming boom.With a strategic focus on expansion, the operator opened another casino this year in Quezon City, which looks set to be a major driver of group revenues over the few years should it follow a similar growth trajectory to the group’s flagship property in Entertainment City.

Manila Trip Report – An emerging Pacific Tiger (Part 2)

Philippines

Bloomberry Resorts Corp is a holding company for its subsidiaries which provide lodging and leisure services. The Subsidiaries operates and develops, tourist facilities, casinos, and hotel and amusement-themed projects.

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Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

Following the tender offer, MPI's public float will drop to 2.78% and the last trading day is expected to be 26 Sep. Bloomberry Resorts could be...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Tender Offer Opens Up an Index Spot

The MPI tender offer and voluntary delisting could see Bloomberry Resorts added to the PCOMP. Passive trackers will need to buy a lot of stock and...

Brian Freitas

Bloomberry Resorts: Flagging the Philippine Casino Market's Fastest Recovery in All of Asia

Bloomberry's Solaire property and its two new ones imminently to come reflect a vitality of recovery in the Philippine gaming market speedier than...

Howard J Klein

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Updated Methodology to Drive Changes

A methodology change that increases the minimum free float from 15% to 20% could result in 3 changes to the index. The three constituents will need...

Brian Freitas

Manila Trip Report – An emerging Pacific Tiger (Part 2)

In the vibrant Philippine gaming industry, we found one casino operator particularly poised to capitalize on the growth story.

Pyramids and Pagodas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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