Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.</li>
<li>While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.</li>
<li>Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.</li>
</ul>


With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.
While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.
Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.


APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Biocon reported revenue of Rs24,088mn, up 31% YoY and 10.8% QoQ. EBITDA stood at Rs5,919mn, up 35.8% YoY and 21.2% QoQ</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Biosimilars: Biosimilar business reported revenue of Rs9,823mn, up 48% YoY and 0.1% QoQ.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Generics: Generics revenue stood at Rs7,172mn, up 24.2% YoY and 18.1% QoQ.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Biocon reported revenue of Rs24,088mn, up 31% YoY and 10.8% QoQ. EBITDA stood at Rs5,919mn, up 35.8% YoY and 21.2% QoQBiosimilars: Biosimilar business reported revenue of Rs9,823mn, up 48% YoY and 0.1% QoQ.Generics: Generics revenue stood at Rs7,172mn, up 24.2% YoY and 18.1% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Biocon - Strong Growth in Generics Business and Research Services

<ul><li>4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.</li><li>We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.</li><li>Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

<ul>
<li>Fierce competition is an industry-wide phenomena in biosimilar products. Despite being an early mover, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> is also facing competition for its marketed biosimilars.</li>
<li>The market share of Celltrion’s key biosimilar product, Remsima is declining. Other marketed and upcoming biosimilars also have multiple existing players.</li>
<li>With the waning COVID-19 infections in the U.S., demand for Celltrion’s rapid test kits seems uncertain.</li>
</ul>


Fierce competition is an industry-wide phenomena in biosimilar products. Despite being an early mover, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) is also facing competition for its marketed biosimilars.
The market share of Celltrion’s key biosimilar product, Remsima is declining. Other marketed and upcoming biosimilars also have multiple existing players.
With the waning COVID-19 infections in the U.S., demand for Celltrion’s rapid test kits seems uncertain.


Celltrion (068270 KS): Increasing Biosimilar Competition- Main Concerning Factor

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Biocon is a leading biopharma company operating in biologics, contract research (Syngene), small molecules and branded formulations.</li><li>Biosimilar US pipeline: (approvals - Pegfilgrastim, Trastuzumab, Glargine, Adalimumab); filed - Aspart and Bevacizumab</li><li>Target Price and Valuation: We value Biocon at Rs 390 on SOTP basis</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Biocon is a leading biopharma company operating in biologics, contract research (Syngene), small molecules and branded formulations.Biosimilar US pipeline: (approvals - Pegfilgrastim, Trastuzumab, Glargine, Adalimumab); filed - Aspart and BevacizumabTarget Price and Valuation: We value Biocon at Rs 390 on SOTP basisContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Biocon: Viatris Deal - High Risk-Reward Play with Leverage

India

Biocon Ltd., is an integrated biotechnology enterprise with a presence in biopharmaceuticals, enzymes, custom research and clinical research. The Company's pharmaceutical products include statins, immunosuppressants and anti-diabetic drugs. Biocon also manufactures specialty enzymes and new enzyme applications besides providing clinical and custom research services.

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Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN)

APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

Amid the declining new COVID infections and economy re-opening, top picks in APAC healthcare sector are poised to benefit. Their recent quarterly...

Tina Banerjee

Biocon - Strong Growth in Generics Business and Research Services

Biocon delivered strong revenue growth (11% QoQ), driven by Generics and Research Services businesses, but the Biosimilar business was flattish QoQ.

Nirmal Bang

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe. We expect a few companies to benefit from the US...

Nirmal Bang

Celltrion (068270 KS): Increasing Biosimilar Competition- Main Concerning Factor

Celltrion is facing increasing competition for its marketed products in both EU and the U.S. Price erosion coupled with inflated SG&A and R&D...

Tina Banerjee

Biocon: Viatris Deal - High Risk-Reward Play with Leverage

Biocon is a leading biopharma company operating in biologics, contract research (Syngene), small molecules and branded formulations.

ICICI Securities Limited

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