Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Debt Capital Markets

Biocon Biologics launched a roadshow last week to market its USD 5NC2 144A/RegS notes offering. The expected issue rating is BB/BB by S&P/Fitch. The proceeds will be used to refinance an outstanding syndicated loan facility obtained for the acquisition of Viatris' global biosimilars business for USD 3.335 bn in May 2022. We see fair value for the proposed 5NC2 bonds at 7%.

  Biocon Biologics launched a roadshow last week to market its USD 5NC2 144A/RegS notes offering. The expected issue rating is BB/BB by S&P/Fitch. The proceeds will be used to refinance an outstanding syndicated loan facility obtained for the acquisition of Viatris' global biosimilars business for USD 3.335 bn in May 2022.   We see fair value for the proposed 5NC2 bonds at 7%. 

Biocon Biologics - New Issue Assessment - Lucror Analytics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.


Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.</li>
<li>The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.</li>
<li>In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.
The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.
In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 3Q; Pipeline Progress Entails Long-Term Growth

Leonard Law, CFA

Credit

<ul>
<li>In the US, the September preliminary durable goods orders fell 0.8% m-o-m (-1.0% e / -0.8% revised p), mainly driven by a decline in bookings for commercial aircraft.</li>
<li>Durable goods orders (excluding transportation) rose 0.4% (-0.1% e / 0.6% revised p).</li>
<li>Separately, the October final University of Michigan consumer sentiment index climbed for the third consecutive month to 70.5 (69.0 e / 70.1 p). </li>
</ul>


In the US, the September preliminary durable goods orders fell 0.8% m-o-m (-1.0% e / -0.8% revised p), mainly driven by a decline in bookings for commercial aircraft.
Durable goods orders (excluding transportation) rose 0.4% (-0.1% e / 0.6% revised p).
Separately, the October final University of Michigan consumer sentiment index climbed for the third consecutive month to 70.5 (69.0 e / 70.1 p). 


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd-94df40cf-c15e-462f-b3de-8d2d434ae935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36261:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab (9688 HK)</a> announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a> sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) signed a contract manufacturing agreement worth KRW1.7T ($1.2B) with an Asian pharmaceutical company. Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) has announced KRW100B ($72M) share buyback, starting October 28.

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) received FDA approval for Vyloy for gastric cancer. Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) received FDA Fast Track designation for its RSV drug candidate, S-337395.

Zai Lab (9688 HK) announced positive topline data from global Phase 1a/1b study of ZL-1310 in small cell lung cancer. Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) sheds Genscript Biotech as its majority shareholder.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

India

Biocon Ltd., is an integrated biotechnology enterprise with a presence in biopharmaceuticals, enzymes, custom research and clinical research. The Company's pharmaceutical products include statins, immunosuppressants and anti-diabetic drugs. Biocon also manufactures specialty enzymes and new enzyme applications besides providing clinical and custom research services.

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Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN)

Biocon Biologics - New Issue Assessment - Lucror Analytics

Biocon Biologics launched a roadshow last week to market its USD 5NC2 144A/RegS notes offering. The expected issue rating is BB/BB by...

Lucror Analytics

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 3Q; Pipeline Progress Entails Long-Term Growth

Celltrion reports 31% YoY revenue growth in 3Q24, driven by new products. The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY),...

Tina Banerjee

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, the September preliminary durable goods orders fell 0.8% m-o-m (-1.0% e / -0.8% revised p), mainly driven by a decline in bookings for...

Lucror Analytics

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Samsung Biologics secures largest ever contract, Celltrion announced KRW100B buyback, Astellas Pharma got label expansion approval for Vyloy,...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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Biocon Biologics - New Issue Assessment - Lucror Analytics

Biocon Biologics launched a roadshow last week to market its USD 5NC2 144A/RegS notes offering. The expected issue rating is BB/BB by...

Lucror Analytics

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 3Q; Pipeline Progress Entails Long-Term Growth

​Celltrion reports 31% YoY revenue growth in 3Q24, driven by new products. The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY),...

Tina Banerjee

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, the September preliminary durable goods orders fell 0.8% m-o-m (-1.0% e / -0.8% revised p), mainly driven by a decline in bookings for...

Lucror Analytics

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 27)- Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, Astellas, Otsuka, Legend, and Zai Lab

Samsung Biologics secures largest ever contract, Celltrion announced KRW100B buyback, Astellas Pharma got label expansion approval for Vyloy,...

Tina Banerjee

Celltrion reports 31% YoY revenue growth in 3Q24, driven by new products. The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY),...