IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ptb-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19198:1" rel="noopener">PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), O2Micro International (OIIM US), Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Tassal (TGR AU), China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Singapore Medical (SMG SP), PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (31 Oct) - Jinke, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Kingston, Pushpay, Nitro, Elmo, DTAC/True

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Woodside, ANZ, Telstra, BHP, Woolworth, Rio Tinto, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Woodside, ANZ, Telstra, BHP, Woolworth, Rio Tinto, Santos.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 21st): Telstra, BHP, Woolworth, Rio Tinto, Santos

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, PTB. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), O2Micro International (OIIM US), Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU),Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Tassal (TGR AU), China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), PTB. 


Merger Arb Mondays (24 Oct) - Eagle Cement, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Jinke Services, Genex, Nearmap

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Talk about timing... Friday before the close I wrote that I thought circumstances might merit a revised tilt at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Earnings are Monday, copper is up in AUD terms, time is moving us forward into a supply squeeze. It all looks good to me.</li>
<li>But an <a href="https://www.afr.com/companies/mining/suitor-bhp-says-oz-minerals-is-not-a-must-have-20221021-p5brxs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> this morning in the AFR says BHP CEO Mike Henry called OZ Minerals “nice to have” not a “must have” and talked "discipline." Oops.</li>
</ul>


Talk about timing... Friday before the close I wrote that I thought circumstances might merit a revised tilt at OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) by BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU). 
Earnings are Monday, copper is up in AUD terms, time is moving us forward into a supply squeeze. It all looks good to me.
But an article this morning in the AFR says BHP CEO Mike Henry called OZ Minerals “nice to have” not a “must have” and talked "discipline." Oops.


OZ Minerals - Circumstances Apparently Do NOT Merit a Revised Tilt

<ul>
<li>Copper is widely recognised to be in somewhat short supply, and EV/electrification would increase demand going forward (though slower Chinese homebuilding would soften it).</li>
<li>A number of developments suggest a further squeeze in prices could be near and copper price strength along with AUD weakness makes an AUD-denominated OZL Takeover Price easier to raise.</li>
<li>Short-Term positioning and longer-term supply constraints are currently battling for near-term import, but medium-term, there's no escaping the imbalance. Looks like a buy now.</li>
</ul>


Copper is widely recognised to be in somewhat short supply, and EV/electrification would increase demand going forward (though slower Chinese homebuilding would soften it).
A number of developments suggest a further squeeze in prices could be near and copper price strength along with AUD weakness makes an AUD-denominated OZL Takeover Price easier to raise.
Short-Term positioning and longer-term supply constraints are currently battling for near-term import, but medium-term, there's no escaping the imbalance. Looks like a buy now.


OZ Minerals - Circumstances May Merit a Revised Tilt

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

Merger Arb Mondays (31 Oct) - Jinke, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Kingston, Pushpay, Nitro, Elmo, DTAC/True

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (84.7%), Alliance Aviation (48.4%), 111 (40.2%), Genex (25.0%), O2Micro (19.3%), Fengxiang (14.6%),...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 21st): Telstra, BHP, Woolworth, Rio Tinto, Santos

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Woodside, ANZ, Telstra, BHP, Woolworth,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (24 Oct) - Eagle Cement, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Jinke Services, Genex, Nearmap

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (53.6%), Alliance Aviation (41.8%), 111 (32.1%), Genex (22.0%), O2Micro (17.6%), Eagle Cement...

Arun George

OZ Minerals - Circumstances Apparently Do NOT Merit a Revised Tilt

It looks like I spoke too soon. On Friday in AUS time I wrote that OZ Minerals looked ripe for a revised tilt by BHP. Friday LDN time saw BHP CEO...

Travis Lundy

OZ Minerals - Circumstances May Merit a Revised Tilt

OZL has dipped as both BHP and OZL appear to be trying to wait each other out on BHP's A$25/shr offer. Chile presents some problems, global stocks...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)