Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).</li>
<li>Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.</li>
</ul>


There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 48.8% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 35.5bn (US$426m).
Since January, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the potential deletes by a big margin. Watch out for the general election results on 4 June for momentum change.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)/(1.2)%</li><li>P&amp;M margins came in weaker than expected which resulted in LT achieving the lower end of FY24 margin guidance of 8.25-8.5% at 8.2%</li><li>LT gave 15/10% revenue/order inflow guidance for FY25 which is better than expected</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)/(1.2)%P&amp;M margins came in weaker than expected which resulted in LT achieving the lower end of FY24 margin guidance of 8.25-8.5% at 8.2%LT gave 15/10% revenue/order inflow guidance for FY25 which is better than expectedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)/(1.2)%</li><li>P&amp;M margins came in weaker than expected which resulted in LT achieving the lower end of FY24 margin guidance of 8.25-8.5% at 8.2%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)/(1.2)%P&amp;M margins came in weaker than expected which resulted in LT achieving the lower end of FY24 margin guidance of 8.25-8.5% at 8.2%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, Bharat Forge, Gujarat Gas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Z Score: The spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the mean, which is the Z Score of 0</li><li>Lot Size: To ensure rupee neutral strategy, we suggest going long on TCS with 1 lot(s) and going short on INFY with 1 lot(s)</li><li>Returns Expectations: In the last 10 trades over the last 200 days, we have achieved 60% hit ratio over an average trade duration of 6.5 days. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Z Score: The spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the mean, which is the Z Score of 0Lot Size: To ensure rupee neutral strategy, we suggest going long on TCS with 1 lot(s) and going short on INFY with 1 lot(s)Returns Expectations: In the last 10 trades over the last 200 days, we have achieved 60% hit ratio over an average trade duration of 6.5 days. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

India

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

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Bharat Forge (BHFC IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 49% Turnover; US$850m Trade; Election Results Coming

There could be 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index in June. The potential adds have outpeformed the potential deletes. Results of the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, Bharat Forge, Gujarat Gas

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported an in-line performance, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 670.8/72.3/43bn, a beat/(miss) of 1.3/(7.4)...

HDFC Securities

Parallel Trades -16 January 2024

he spread is currently negative between TCS and INFY, signaling a long signal on the spread, which means we believe it would retrace up towards the...

Axis Direct

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

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