External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We met BHFC’s management team recently to understand the company’s growth outlook in the coming years.</li><li>Key growth drivers for BHFC would be: 1) the robust order backlog of INR54b in defense exports to be executable over the next three years, along with the prospects of the beginning of domestic defense orders soon; 2) with new order wins and multiple initiatives, JS Autocast (JSA) is likely to emerge as one of the fastest growing businesses of BHFC; 3) the aerospace segment is set to clock strong growth in the coming years; 4) PV exports are likely to moderate in FY25E, but they should pick up from FY26 onward given a healthy order backlog.</li><li>However, CVs (both domestic and exports) and domestic PVs are likely to see weak growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We met BHFC’s management team recently to understand the company’s growth outlook in the coming years.Key growth drivers for BHFC would be: 1) the robust order backlog of INR54b in defense exports to be executable over the next three years, along with the prospects of the beginning of domestic defense orders soon; 2) with new order wins and multiple initiatives, JS Autocast (JSA) is likely to emerge as one of the fastest growing businesses of BHFC; 3) the aerospace segment is set to clock strong growth in the coming years; 4) PV exports are likely to moderate in FY25E, but they should pick up from FY26 onward given a healthy order backlog.However, CVs (both domestic and exports) and domestic PVs are likely to see weak growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Forge - Defense to Remain Growth Driver

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onBharat Forge We increased our FY26E consolidated estimate for revenue/EPS by ~9/10% respectively owing to strong order book, profitability in its international subsidiary in FY25 and strong management commentary.</li><li>Its Q4FY24 standalone revenue grew by 16.6% YoY which was 3.4% below our estimate while it was 2.2% higher than consensus estimate.</li><li>Gross margin was ~80bps better than our estimates at 58.6% driven by execution of the export order book.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onBharat Forge We increased our FY26E consolidated estimate for revenue/EPS by ~9/10% respectively owing to strong order book, profitability in its international subsidiary in FY25 and strong management commentary.Its Q4FY24 standalone revenue grew by 16.6% YoY which was 3.4% below our estimate while it was 2.2% higher than consensus estimate.Gross margin was ~80bps better than our estimates at 58.6% driven by execution of the export order book.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Forge (BHFC IN) - Strong Defense Order Book to Drive Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

<ul>
<li>There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).</li>
<li>Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).
Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.</li>
<li>BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. </li>
<li>We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.</li>
</ul>


A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.
BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. 
We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.


Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

India

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

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Bharat Forge (BHFC IN)

Bharat Forge - Defense to Remain Growth Driver

We estimate a CAGR of 13%/26%/54% in consolidated revenue/EBITDA/PAT over FY24-26. However, at 45.5x/34x FY25E/FY26E PER, we believe the current...

Motilal Oswal