Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET fell due to profit taking after rebounding for four consecutive days, but it still increased 2.09% from the previous week, with the market focusing on the 1Q24 earning results and foreign investors playing an important role in steering the market.</li><li>However, the trading atmosphere was sluggish, and volume remained light.</li><li>The index has been trading sideways recently, fluctuating within the range of 1,355-1,368 points in the short term. </li></ul>

The SET fell due to profit taking after rebounding for four consecutive days, but it still increased 2.09% from the previous week, with the market focusing on the 1Q24 earning results and foreign investors playing an important role in steering the market.However, the trading atmosphere was sluggish, and volume remained light.The index has been trading sideways recently, fluctuating within the range of 1,355-1,368 points in the short term. 

<ul><li>Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth day in a row.</li><li>Foreign investors turned to buy, and the improvement of BH, DELTA and ADVANC bolstered the index’s continued rise. However, the trading atmosphere was quiet with light volume.</li><li>A V-shaped recovery did not materialize after the index moved sideways; however, it managed to climb higher, setting the stage to test the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,368 points. If the index breaches this level, it is likely to continue to rebound toward the 1,400-point mark.</li></ul>

Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth day in a row.Foreign investors turned to buy, and the improvement of BH, DELTA and ADVANC bolstered the index’s continued rise. However, the trading atmosphere was quiet with light volume.A V-shaped recovery did not materialize after the index moved sideways; however, it managed to climb higher, setting the stage to test the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,368 points. If the index breaches this level, it is likely to continue to rebound toward the 1,400-point mark.

<ul><li>The SET fluctuated in a narrow range and closed up for a third day, but it was weaker than other Asian bourses, which surged sharply, with tech stocks taking the lead.</li><li>Furthermore, volume decreased, large cap stocks showed mixed movement, and foreign investors turned to sell, which indicated that the index would face selling pressure.</li><li>The index approached the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,369 points before retreating, revealing the upward adjustment to be hindered by selling pressure. </li></ul>

The SET fluctuated in a narrow range and closed up for a third day, but it was weaker than other Asian bourses, which surged sharply, with tech stocks taking the lead.Furthermore, volume decreased, large cap stocks showed mixed movement, and foreign investors turned to sell, which indicated that the index would face selling pressure.The index approached the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,369 points before retreating, revealing the upward adjustment to be hindered by selling pressure. 

<ul><li>KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the beginning of 2024, will commence in 4Q24.</li><li>This timing aligns with the increased clarity surrounding the funding sources.</li><li>The funding structure has transitioned from the previously discussed Bt500bn Loan Bill, which raised legal concerns, to the expenditures budget for 2024-25 and the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC). </li></ul>

KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the beginning of 2024, will commence in 4Q24.This timing aligns with the increased clarity surrounding the funding sources.The funding structure has transitioned from the previously discussed Bt500bn Loan Bill, which raised legal concerns, to the expenditures budget for 2024-25 and the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC). 

Special Report: Digital Wallet to Start in 4Q24 - APRIL 11, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> continues to be a close add on liquidity while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> continue to be close deletes.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) continues to be a close add on liquidity while Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) continue to be close deletes.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

Thailand

Ch. Karnchang Public Company Limited provides construction services to public and private sectors including construction of expressways, public utilities, and industrial plants. Through it subsidiaries, the Company distributes construction materials.

Gunkul Engineering PCL is a power generation and engineering company that supplies hardware and accessory products used in electrical power transmission and distribution systems.

Dynasty Ceramic Public Company Limited produces ceramic floor tiles used for both indoor and outdoor construction and decoration.

Sino Thai Engineering & Construction Public Company Limited provides engineering and construction services to the public and private sectors.  The Company's activities include energy project construction, building construction, industrial plant construction, environment project construction, as well as transportation project and infrastructure construction.

Sino-Thai Engineering & Construction (STEC TB)

Vanachai Group Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes board panels as substitute for natural wood.  The Company's products include medium density fiber boards (MDF) and particle boards.  Its subsidiary also produces glue products.

BTS Group Holdings PCL is primarily in the business of Mass Transit.  The Company operates Bangkok's BTS SkyTrain system and the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System. BTS Group Holdings PCL is also involved in Media & Advertising, Property Development, and Services business.

Bangkok Airways Company Limited offers air transportation services. The Company operates flights and airports to various resort destinations in Thailand, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, China, and Japan.

Italian-Thai Development PCL involves in construction, project management, and engineering and design of large-scale civil works and infrastructure projects in Thailand and Southeast Asia. The Company's projects include industrial plants, building, pipelines, transportation, airport work, dams, tunnels, steel structures and telecommunications.

Unique Engineering & Construction PCL is an engineering and construction company. The Company's services include bridge and tunnel construction and infrastructure design.

GT Capital Holdings Inc. is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking, automotive, property development, infrastructure, utilities, and insurance services.

Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides passenger rail and bus transportation in Osaka and Kyoto prefectures.  The Company operates department stores, hotels, travel agents, and restaurants in the vicinity of its railway system.  The Company leases and sells real estate and offers a wide range of construction works.

Doosan Co., Ltd operates as a diversified manufacturing and service company. The Company conducts electronic components production, logistics equipment manufacturing, information technology consulting, and other businesses. Doosan provides services worldwide.

DMCI Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides general construction and infrastructure construction. DMCI also develops real estate and mines coal. In addition, DMCI manufactures cement and other products.

Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates oil palm and cocoa plantations, trades heavy equipment and motor vehicles, fabricates and sells commercial trailers and tankers, provides leasing and money lending, and manufactures agricultural fertilizers, agro-chemicals, building materials, and plantation supplies.

Dubai Investments PJSC offers venture capital.  The Company invests in joint ventures and local companies.  Dubai Investments holds interests in dairy farms, publishers and real estate developers, and manufacturers of glass, pharmaceuticals, vegetable oils, building materials, and aluminum extrusions.

Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited is an investment holding company that focuses on three core businesses: infrastructure facilities, real estate and consumer products. SIHL invests in toll road projects, water-related business, property development, investment, hotel operation, the manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, packaging materials and printed products.

Nava Bharat Ventures Limited manufactures ferro alloys which are utilized by the steel industry. The Company also generates & distributes power and manufactures sugar.

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. develops, leases, and manages residential and commercial real estate properties in Shenzhen, Wuhan, Hainan, and Shanghai areas.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also produces medical products and sells its products on a retail chain stores basis.

Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corporation is an electrical company. The Company manufactures, markets, and installs refrigerating systems for commercial and industrial purposes.

Berli Jucker PCL is a large Thai conglomerate whose business spans various industries. The Company's operations include the distribution and manufacturing of its own products plus contract distribution and manufacturing for other firms. BJC's core lines of business are packaging, consumer, healthcare, technical and other businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Berli Jucker (BJC TB)

Technical Analysis - April 29, 2024

The SET fell due to profit taking after rebounding for four consecutive days, but it still increased 2.09% from the previous week

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - APRIL 26, 2024

Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - APRIL 25, 2024

The SET fluctuated in a narrow range and closed up for a third day, but it was weaker than other Asian bourses, which surged sharply, with tech...

Krungthai XSpring

Special Report: Digital Wallet to Start in 4Q24 - APRIL 11, 2024

KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 Index in June. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on liquidity and that will need to be...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)