IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>’s shares declined by -8% on <a href="https://di.hkex.com.hk/di/NSForm2.aspx?fn=CS20220829E00231&amp;amp;sa2=ns&amp;amp;sid=2508&amp;amp;sd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;ed=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sa1=cl&amp;amp;scsd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;sced=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sc=01211&amp;amp;src=Main&amp;amp;lang=EN&amp;amp;tk=ds" target="_blank" rel="noopener">disclosure</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. </li>
<li>Berkshire will likely follow its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “<em>a decision based on valuation.</em>”</li>
<li>Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK)’s shares declined by -8% on disclosure that Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. 
Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina (857 HK) playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “a decision based on valuation.”
Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.


Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> listed its H Shares, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a> plans to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. </li>
<li>Event-Driven developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, DTAC/True, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:439:1" rel="noopener">Genting Singapore (GENS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.      </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) listed its H Shares, WCP (WCP KS) plans to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. 
Event-Driven developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), DTAC/True, BYD (1211 HK), Genting Singapore (GENS SP), Tassal (TGR AU), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).      


Weekly Deals Digest (17 Jul): WCP, BYD, Link, Genting Singapore, DTAC/True, AOF, ResApp

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Tianqi's soggy debut in Hong Kong despite its wide discount will probably put Hong Kong ECM back in snooze mode for a while</li>
<li>There were no major placements this week and its likely to remain that was as we approach the half-yearly results season.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Tianqi's soggy debut in Hong Kong despite its wide discount will probably put Hong Kong ECM back in snooze mode for a while
There were no major placements this week and its likely to remain that was as we approach the half-yearly results season.


ECM Weekly (17th Jul 2022) - Tianqi, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, WCP, Deewin, Bharat FIH, BYD

<ul>
<li>The increase of 225.2 million CCASS shares deposited with Citibank matches <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a>’s stake. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> closed -12% down on speculation of a selldown.   </li>
<li>The H Share recently touched all-time highs and trades at a significant premium to historical multiples. BYD has a recent history of a selldown by a substantial shareholder (Himalaya Capital).</li>
<li>Berkshire has made a 33x gain on its BYD investment, excluding dividends. Taking money off the table would align with Berkshire’s value investing mandate.</li>
</ul>


The increase of 225.2 million CCASS shares deposited with Citibank matches Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)’s stake. BYD (1211 HK) closed -12% down on speculation of a selldown.   
The H Share recently touched all-time highs and trades at a significant premium to historical multiples. BYD has a recent history of a selldown by a substantial shareholder (Himalaya Capital).
Berkshire has made a 33x gain on its BYD investment, excluding dividends. Taking money off the table would align with Berkshire’s value investing mandate.


BYD’s Shares Tumble Awaiting Berkshire's Next Move

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Rex International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last month a new options program was announced, board members have two milestones to meet by 8/4/2024: get the stock over 0.45 SGD (50% vesting) &amp; 0.60 SGD (50% vesting)</li>
<li>Rex's production in Oman has disappointed but AGM commentary makes us believe the worst is now behind us. A recent Straits Times interview confirms 20K BPD remains the LT target.</li>
<li>Rex has instituted a good dividend policy and should now max out its 10% annual buyback authorization before dividends are paid later in FY22; win-win situation for shareholders and board.</li>
</ul>


Last month a new options program was announced, board members have two milestones to meet by 8/4/2024: get the stock over 0.45 SGD (50% vesting) &amp; 0.60 SGD (50% vesting)
Rex's production in Oman has disappointed but AGM commentary makes us believe the worst is now behind us. A recent Straits Times interview confirms 20K BPD remains the LT target.
Rex has instituted a good dividend policy and should now max out its 10% annual buyback authorization before dividends are paid later in FY22; win-win situation for shareholders and board.


Rex: Show Me the Incentives and I Will Show You the Outcome

United States

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company owning subsidiaries in a variety of business sectors.  The Company's principal operations are insurance business conducted nationwide on a primary basis and worldwide on a reinsurance basis. Berkshire's other operations include a railway company, a specialty chemical company, and an international association of diversified businesses.

Apollo Global Management, Inc. operates as an alternative investment management company. The Company focuses on investing in yield, hybrid, and equity markets to generate retirement and investment income for clients. Apollo Global Management serves businesses and individuals worldwide.

Block, Inc. operates as a financial services and digital payments company. The Company develops a payments platform aimed at small and medium businesses that allows them to accept credit card payments and use tablet computers as payment registers for a point-of-sale system. Block also provides financial and marketing services.

Equitable Holdings, Inc. is an independent U.S.-based financial services company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides advice, protection, retirement strategies, and investment-management and research.

Voya Financial, Inc. is a retirement, investment and insurance company. The Company offers asset accumulation, asset protection and asset distribution products and services to individual and institutional customers in the United States.

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. provides mortgage lending services. The Company offers credit risk transfers, loan servicing and production, investment management, and other related financial services. PennyMac Financial Services serves customers in the United States.

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions. Paymentus Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Fannie Mae buys and holds mortgages, and issues and sells guaranteed mortgage-backed securities to facilitate housing ownership for low to middle-income Americans. The Company was chartered by the United States Congress, but went public in 1970.

Compass Diversified Holdings is an investment holding company. The Company acquires controlling interests in profitable small to middle market businesses in niche industries as well as works with management to pursue growth opportunities and provide strategic support.

Cannae Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manages and operates a group of companies and investments. Cannae Holdings serves investors in the State of Nevada.

Investor AB is an industrial holding company. The Company owns significant shareholdings in major public multinational companies and conducts private equity activities in Europe, North America, and Asia. Investor takes an active ownership role in many of the companies it owns.

Bajaj Finserv Ltd. is currently engaged in life insurance; general insurance and consumer finance businesses and has plans to expand its business by offering a wide array of financial products and services in India. The Company is also active in wind-energy generation.

ORIX Corporation provides comprehensive financial services throughout the world. The Company's business lines include leasing, real estate loans, life insurance, banking, and consumer finance.  The Company also operates Environment related business and Private equity investment business. ORIX has a professional baseball team, the ORIX Buffalos.

Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a financial holding company, formed through the merger of Fubon Insurance, Fubon Securities, Fubon Commercial Bank, and Fubon Life Assurance.

FirstRand Limited is a portfolio of separately branded, integrated financial services businesses offering a universal set of transactional, lending, investment and insurance products and services in South Africa, certain markets in sub-Saharan Africa and the UK.

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited (IRFC) provides financial services. The Company raises money from the market through bonds and off-shores borrowings to finance the plan outlay of railways and other various developmental programs. IRFC serves customers in India. 

Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC IN)

Adyen N.V. provides payment solutions. The Company offers a platform that enable merchants and businesses to process payments online, mobile, and point-of-sale systems with payment methods including card schemes, mobile wallets, and other local methods. Adyen serves customers worldwide.

Rural Electrification Corporation Limited engages in the financing and promotion of transmission, distribution and generation projects in India. The Company provides funding to clients to assist them in formulating and implementing various types of power project-related schemes.

Power Finance Corporation funds power projects in India.  The Company serves state power utilities, central power sector utilities, power departments, private power sector utilities, joint sector power utilities, power equipment manufacturers, and municipal power utilities.

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Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)

Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. While the valuation is undemanding, the...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (17 Jul): WCP, BYD, Link, Genting Singapore, DTAC/True, AOF, ResApp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (BYD, Genting Singapore, Link Admin, DTAC/True, ResApp, Tassal, Uniti) and ECM (WCP,...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (17th Jul 2022) - Tianqi, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, WCP, Deewin, Bharat FIH, BYD

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

BYD’s Shares Tumble Awaiting Berkshire's Next Move

H Share declined -12% on speculation of selldown by Berkshire. With a 33x gain on its BYD investment, taking money off the table would align with...

Arun George

Rex: Show Me the Incentives and I Will Show You the Outcome

Rex share awards show clear incentives for the board to maximize value over the coming two years. Buying back 10% of shares outstanding would be...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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