Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. 
Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.
In this note, we'll talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Zhihu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Delivered the Correction but Still Set for the Worst Debut Yet

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. Zhihu will not receive any of the net proceeds as it is offering from selling shareholders.</li>
<li>Zhihu shares are down 73% from the IPO price of $9.50 per ADS (March 2021) largely due to the tech sell-off and regulatory uncertainty on ADR listings.  </li>
<li>While a loss-making Chinese tech name is not everybody's cup of tea in the current environment, Zhihu has delivered resilient performance and the valuation is undemanding. </li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. Zhihu will not receive any of the net proceeds as it is offering from selling shareholders.
Zhihu shares are down 73% from the IPO price of $9.50 per ADS (March 2021) largely due to the tech sell-off and regulatory uncertainty on ADR listings.  
While a loss-making Chinese tech name is not everybody's cup of tea in the current environment, Zhihu has delivered resilient performance and the valuation is undemanding. 


Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. </li>
<li>If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has GoTo (GOTO IJ)'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. 
If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, GoTo (GOTO IJ) will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.
Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>This week we looked at the South Korean SK twins that are looking to list. In addition, LIC appears to be testing waters again.</li>
<li>Placement flows slowed down a bit with the mid-week HK holiday, although Australia and India blocks have continued to flow-in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
This week we looked at the South Korean SK twins that are looking to list. In addition, LIC appears to be testing waters again.
Placement flows slowed down a bit with the mid-week HK holiday, although Australia and India blocks have continued to flow-in.


ECM Weekly (10th Apr 2022)- LIC, GoTo, Shieldus, One Store, China ADRs, Air NZ, Chrysos, Zhihu

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Zhihu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Delivered the Correction but Still Set for the Worst Debut Yet

Zhihu Technology (ZH US) raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment

Zhihu has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200m. While a loss-making Chinese tech name is not enticing, Zhihu has delivered...

Arun George

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

GoTo lists tomorrow and could get Fast Entry to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices if the IDX uses a float of 66%. That would require passives to...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (10th Apr 2022)- LIC, GoTo, Shieldus, One Store, China ADRs, Air NZ, Chrysos, Zhihu

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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