Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 20th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 20th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 20th): China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, CCB, HKEX

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bullish sentiments doubled BABA share price post 20th Party congress, as investors look beyond a soft December quarter and focus on re-opening prospects and flashing regulatory green lights.</li>
<li>Expect single-Digit GMV growth, more disciplined OPEX and hence margin recovery to generate RMB180 billion non-GAAP net profit for BABA by FY25. Materializing fundamental recovery will support continued re-rating.</li>
<li>That said, we also see headwinds to multiple expansion and expect 18-20x PER (among lowest in sector) for FY25, implying 21%/28% compounded annual return over FY23-25.</li>
</ul>


Bullish sentiments doubled BABA share price post 20th Party congress, as investors look beyond a soft December quarter and focus on re-opening prospects and flashing regulatory green lights.
Expect single-Digit GMV growth, more disciplined OPEX and hence margin recovery to generate RMB180 billion non-GAAP net profit for BABA by FY25. Materializing fundamental recovery will support continued re-rating.
That said, we also see headwinds to multiple expansion and expect 18-20x PER (among lowest in sector) for FY25, implying 21%/28% compounded annual return over FY23-25.


Alibaba (BABA US): What Is Next After Strong Rally?

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 13th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ping An, Li Ning, Icbc, Jiumaojiu.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 13th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Ping An, Li Ning, Icbc, Jiumaojiu.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Li Ning, Icbc, Jiumaojiu

<ul>
<li>Recent developments highlighted the strategic significance of Wechat Channels (微信视频号) that Tencent’s management attached to the company’s future.</li>
<li>Counter-Intuitively, while backing of the social giant saves Wechat Channels’ efforts for traffic acquisition, it also limits the product's potential to develop into a content ecosystem rivaling Douyin.</li>
<li>Our base case values the product at $29 billion, or 6% of Tencent’s market cap as of January 20th.</li>
</ul>


Recent developments highlighted the strategic significance of Wechat Channels (微信视频号) that Tencent’s management attached to the company’s future.
Counter-Intuitively, while backing of the social giant saves Wechat Channels’ efforts for traffic acquisition, it also limits the product's potential to develop into a content ecosystem rivaling Douyin.
Our base case values the product at $29 billion, or 6% of Tencent’s market cap as of January 20th.


Tencent (700.HK): Valuing Wechat Channels

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Things are starting to pickup on the IPO front with the first somewhat sizeable US ADR filing done this week.</li>
<li>Placements deal flow continued to stay strong this week, even as the performance didn't.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Things are starting to pickup on the IPO front with the first somewhat sizeable US ADR filing done this week.
Placements deal flow continued to stay strong this week, even as the performance didn't.


ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) - HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 20th): China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, CCB, HKEX

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Meituan, China Construction Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Alibaba (BABA US): What Is Next After Strong Rally?

We believe that materializing fundamental recovery to support continued re-rating of BABA after sentiment-driven rally. We expect over 20% CAGR...

Eric Chen

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Li Ning, Icbc, Jiumaojiu

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 13th and highlight short interest changes in Ping An, Li Ning, Icbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700.HK): Valuing Wechat Channels

We value Wechat Channels at $29 billion, roughly 6% of Tencent's market cap. The social graph underpinning the product is a double-edge sword -...

Eric Chen

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) - HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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