Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

With a blend of sell-side and buy-side perspectives, Eric has covered and researched hundreds of Greater China equities in TMT and consumer spaces - two sectors woven together by the overarching thesis of technology empowering consumption. 

Eric is highly experienced in fundamental equity long short strategy. He seeks to produce differentiated and original research that combines holistic qualitative framework, unique angles and robust modelling. The process helps gain deep insights into critical value drivers misunderstood by the market, which results in mis-priced stocks and hence long/short opportunities.

EQD | Alibaba (BABA US): Playing the Earnings Via Derivatives

Alibaba: FY3Q23 Results Presenting An Opportunity In Disguise

[Alibaba (BABA US) Target Price Change]: Cut TP for Intensified Competition in ECommerce

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking beyond short-term pandemic impact

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bullish sentiments doubled BABA share price post 20th Party congress, as investors look beyond a soft December quarter and focus on re-opening prospects and flashing regulatory green lights.</li>
<li>Expect single-Digit GMV growth, more disciplined OPEX and hence margin recovery to generate RMB180 billion non-GAAP net profit for BABA by FY25. Materializing fundamental recovery will support continued re-rating.</li>
<li>That said, we also see headwinds to multiple expansion and expect 18-20x PER (among lowest in sector) for FY25, implying 21%/28% compounded annual return over FY23-25.</li>
</ul>


Bullish sentiments doubled BABA share price post 20th Party congress, as investors look beyond a soft December quarter and focus on re-opening prospects and flashing regulatory green lights.
Expect single-Digit GMV growth, more disciplined OPEX and hence margin recovery to generate RMB180 billion non-GAAP net profit for BABA by FY25. Materializing fundamental recovery will support continued re-rating.
That said, we also see headwinds to multiple expansion and expect 18-20x PER (among lowest in sector) for FY25, implying 21%/28% compounded annual return over FY23-25.


Alibaba (BABA US): What Is Next After Strong Rally?