China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BZ: Kanzhun Limited: China State Council issued a series of policies to stabilize employment market.(+)</li>
<li>BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May 1(-/-/+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: RED preparing to launch group buying function (-)</li>
</ul>


BZ: Kanzhun Limited: China State Council issued a series of policies to stabilize employment market.(+)
BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May 1(-/-/+)
3690 HK: RED preparing to launch group buying function (-)


China TMT Update(Apr.28)-BZ/BILI/1024/3690HK: RED Preparing to Launch Group Buying Function (-)

<ul>
<li>3690HK / 1024HK:  Douyin launches local services partner conference (-)</li>
<li>NIO: Wait times for NIO ES7 shortened to 3 weeks (-)</li>
<li>LEGN:  Legend Bio announced positive Caltitude-4 data, raising private placement of US$200mn（/）</li>
</ul>


3690HK / 1024HK:  Douyin launches local services partner conference (-)
NIO: Wait times for NIO ES7 shortened to 3 weeks (-)
LEGN:  Legend Bio announced positive Caltitude-4 data, raising private placement of US$200mn（/）


China TMT Update (Apr.26) - 3690HK/ 1024HK/NIO/LEGN:Douyin Launches Local Services Conference

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect that Kuaishou’s 1Q23/2023 top line would be basically in line vs cons, as major business lines are recovering as macro rebounds. </li>
<li>However, we estimate that its 1Q23/2023 bottom line would still largely miss cons by (36%)/(39%), due to our concerns of increasing competition from WeChat Video Account and Douyin.</li>
<li>Maintain SELL rating and cut TP to HK$ 45 to reflect intensifying competition landscape. Our TP implies 1.8X PS/221X PE in 2023.  </li>
</ul>


We expect that Kuaishou’s 1Q23/2023 top line would be basically in line vs cons, as major business lines are recovering as macro rebounds. 
However, we estimate that its 1Q23/2023 bottom line would still largely miss cons by (36%)/(39%), due to our concerns of increasing competition from WeChat Video Account and Douyin.
Maintain SELL rating and cut TP to HK$ 45 to reflect intensifying competition landscape. Our TP implies 1.8X PS/221X PE in 2023.  


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$45) Target Price Change]: Competition Intensifies from Major Players

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Wuxi Bio, Baba, Tencent, Sensetime.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Wuxi Bio, Baba, Tencent, Sensetime.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Wuxi Bio, Baba, Tencent, Sensetime

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Founded in 2017 in Beijing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-tai-ruo-technology-co-ltd-nreal-ai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36880:1" rel="noopener">Nreal.ai (1690070D CH)</a> is an Augmented Reality (AR)/ mixed reality (MR) technology company that develops and sells AR glasses.</li>
<li>The company's glasses have received wide recognition as they are designed to be lightweight, comfortable and affordable, making them more accessible to consumers.</li>
<li>The company has raised more than USD240m in funding and as per the company, we could expect an IPO over the next 18-24 months.  </li>
</ul>


Founded in 2017 in Beijing, Nreal.ai (1690070D CH) is an Augmented Reality (AR)/ mixed reality (MR) technology company that develops and sells AR glasses.
The company's glasses have received wide recognition as they are designed to be lightweight, comfortable and affordable, making them more accessible to consumers.
The company has raised more than USD240m in funding and as per the company, we could expect an IPO over the next 18-24 months.  


Nreal: AR/MR Technology Player Recognised for Affordable Glasses

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

China TMT Update(Apr.28)-BZ/BILI/1024/3690HK: RED Preparing to Launch Group Buying Function (-)

BZ: State Council issued policies to stabilize employment market; BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May ; 3690HK: RED...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update (Apr.26) - 3690HK/ 1024HK/NIO/LEGN:Douyin Launches Local Services Conference

3690HK/1024HK: Douyin launches local services partner conference (-)；NIO: Wait times for NIO ES7 shortened to 3 weeks (-)；LEGN: Legend Bio...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$45) Target Price Change]: Competition Intensifies from Major Players

Maintain SELL rating and cut TP to HK$ 45 to reflect intensifying competition landscape. Our TP implies 1.8X PS/221X PE in 2023.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Wuxi Bio, Baba, Tencent, Sensetime

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 14th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Wuxi Bio, Baba,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Nreal: AR/MR Technology Player Recognised for Affordable Glasses

Nreal is an AR/ mixed reality (MR) tech company that develops and sells AR glasses. Nreal’s more-affordable, lightweight AR glasses are more...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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