Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> reported 2Q2023 results yesterday which beat consensus estimates. The company reported an OPM of 4.7% with net profits for the first time.</li>
<li>The company's domestic business continues to see improvement in operating profits while losses of the overseas business have reduced significantly over the last few quarters.</li>
<li>Though livestreaming growth has decelerated, the company's online marketing and e-commerce businesses continue to expand driving Kuaishou’s earnings.</li>
</ul>



Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) reported 2Q2023 results yesterday which beat consensus estimates. The company reported an OPM of 4.7% with net profits for the first time.
The company's domestic business continues to see improvement in operating profits while losses of the overseas business have reduced significantly over the last few quarters.
Though livestreaming growth has decelerated, the company's online marketing and e-commerce businesses continue to expand driving Kuaishou’s earnings.


Kuaishou: Earnings Beat, Improved Profitability and Further Upside

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>The total revenue growth rate accelerated significantly to 28% YoY in 2Q23.</li>
<li>The high-margin businesses grew more rapidly than the low margin business.</li>
<li>Gross Merchandise Value and Active user base still increased strongly.</li>
</ul>


The total revenue growth rate accelerated significantly to 28% YoY in 2Q23.
The high-margin businesses grew more rapidly than the low margin business.
Gross Merchandise Value and Active user base still increased strongly.


KS (Kuaishou 1024 HK): 2Q23, First Net Profit Since IPO, Growth Accelerated, Buy

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a> ’ US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


ARM Holdings Limited - The Positives - Pervasive Global Presence

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Sep 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 18 August after the close.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-buy-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">East Buy Holding (1797 HK)</a> (formerly Koolearn) was an ADD. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> is a DELETE. </li>
<li>AAC is a significant flow event, and worth looking at. There are a few odds and ends too.</li>
</ul>


The Sep 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 18 August after the close.

East Buy Holding (1797 HK) (formerly Koolearn) was an ADD. AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) is a DELETE. 
AAC is a significant flow event, and worth looking at. There are a few odds and ends too.


Hang Seng TECH Sep23 Index Review - A Few BIGLY Events and One-Way Flow of 3.4%

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-buy-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">East Buy Holding (1797 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the close on 1 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.5% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3.4bn (US$435m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Short interest is 15% of float on both stocks. Short covering could take <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-buy-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">East Buy Holding (1797 HK)</a> higher while providing support for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies (2018 HK)</a> closer to deletion.</li>
</ul>


As expected, East Buy Holding (1797 HK) replaces AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the close on 1 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.5% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3.4bn (US$435m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
Short interest is 15% of float on both stocks. Short covering could take East Buy Holding (1797 HK) higher while providing support for AAC Technologies (2018 HK) closer to deletion.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: East Buy (1797 HK) Replaces AAC Tech (2018 HK); Big Shorts on Both Stocks

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Kuaishou: Earnings Beat, Improved Profitability and Further Upside

Kuaishou's 2Q earnings beat consensus with significant improvement in profitability. Our regression analysis suggests there is further upside to...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

KS (Kuaishou 1024 HK): 2Q23, First Net Profit Since IPO, Growth Accelerated, Buy

Total revenue growth accelerated significantly in 2Q23. The high-margin businesses grew more rapidly than the low margin business. Gross...

Ming Lu

ARM Holdings Limited - The Positives - Pervasive Global Presence

Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings ’ US IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng TECH Sep23 Index Review - A Few BIGLY Events and One-Way Flow of 3.4%

HSTECH is often the most interesting of the 3 major Hang Seng index rebals, and that is the case here too, though the one-way flow is "only" 3.4%...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Index Rebalance: East Buy (1797 HK) Replaces AAC Tech (2018 HK); Big Shorts on Both Stocks

East Buy (1797) replaces AAC Tech (2018) in the HSTECH in Sep. Two-way turnover is 7% and the round-trip trade is US$870m. There are big shorts on...

Brian Freitas

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