HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The most important policy for the domestic healthcare industry in the next three years is the DRGs/DIP. We analyzed some important points and the industry outlook brought by this policy.</li>
<li>The aggregate “constraints” imposed by DRGs/DIP will greatly reduce the growth of industry, but A-share market hasn’t fully priced in the impact. Investors are advised to be aware of it.</li>
<li>Recently, Shaanxi province announced the results of centralized procurement of pacemakers.</li>
</ul>


The most important policy for the domestic healthcare industry in the next three years is the DRGs/DIP. We analyzed some important points and the industry outlook brought by this policy.
The aggregate “constraints” imposed by DRGs/DIP will greatly reduce the growth of industry, but A-share market hasn’t fully priced in the impact. Investors are advised to be aware of it.
Recently, Shaanxi province announced the results of centralized procurement of pacemakers.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.17)-The Most Important Policy in Next Three Years,Pacemaker VBP Results

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, the Financial Times reported that the Biden Administration would add two dozen Chinese companies to the entity list while there could be additions to the investment blacklist too.</li>
<li>There was a big drop in biotech stocks in Hong Kong on the news with the Hang Seng Hong Kong listed Biotech Index dropping over 7%.</li>
<li>Ahead of the publication of the lists on Thursday, we look at the potential impact on the stocks that could be added to either/both the lists.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, the Financial Times reported that the Biden Administration would add two dozen Chinese companies to the entity list while there could be additions to the investment blacklist too.
There was a big drop in biotech stocks in Hong Kong on the news with the Hang Seng Hong Kong listed Biotech Index dropping over 7%.
Ahead of the publication of the lists on Thursday, we look at the potential impact on the stocks that could be added to either/both the lists.


Potential Blacklist Additions: Impact on China AI/Biotech Stocks

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For development strategy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphamab-oncology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28213:1" rel="noopener">Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) </a>may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.</li>
<li>Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.</li>
<li>Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.</li>
</ul>


For development strategy, Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.
Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.
Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.


Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.</li>
<li>We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.</li>
<li>Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?</li>
</ul>


We analyzed Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.
We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.
Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

<ul>
<li>The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.</li>
<li>If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.</li>
<li>For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.</li>
</ul>


The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.
If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.
For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (6160 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.17)-The Most Important Policy in Next Three Years,Pacemaker VBP Results

This article analyzed the most important policy for China healthcare in the next three years - DRGs/DIP, its potential impact, the outlook of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Potential Blacklist Additions: Impact on China AI/Biotech Stocks

An FT article said that the Biden administration would add 8 entities to the NS-CMIC list and 24 entities to the Entity List. We look at the...

Brian Freitas

Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The article analyzed Alphamab Oncology in terms of its conservativeness on business operation and decision making in early stages, the concerns on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

The article mainly analyzed Junshi in terms of the pipeline, commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook, the related concerns, as well as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

This article analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, the change in logic of valuation due to the new COVID virus, and a...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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