HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tiantan plans to acquire 100% equity of Zhongyuan Ruide from CSL Behring ASIA PACIFIC LIMITED for US$185 million, so as to consolidate its leading position in blood products industry.</li>
<li>BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. Considering AbbVie is good at using legal means to profit for itself, this lawsuit may become full of uncertainty in US.</li>
<li>The House passed BIOSECURE Act to make drug companies stop doing business with Chinese CXO.The probability of this Bill passing is high. We recommend prepare for worst-case scenario in advance.</li>
</ul>


Tiantan plans to acquire 100% equity of Zhongyuan Ruide from CSL Behring ASIA PACIFIC LIMITED for US$185 million, so as to consolidate its leading position in blood products industry.
BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. Considering AbbVie is good at using legal means to profit for itself, this lawsuit may become full of uncertainty in US.
The House passed BIOSECURE Act to make drug companies stop doing business with Chinese CXO.The probability of this Bill passing is high. We recommend prepare for worst-case scenario in advance.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>At present, we see two ADDs/DELs based on the latest available data but the rankings can change until 30th September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2024.
At present, we see two ADDs/DELs based on the latest available data but the rankings can change until 30th September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec 24: Two Changes Possible; US$265mn Capping Flows One-Way

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AK112’s HARMONi-2 results were impressive, but there’s still critical data gap before obtaining approval from FDA. The main concern is whether good PFS can be translated into significant OS benefits.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso </a>will be eligible to receive low double-digit royalties on net sales from Summit. So, Summit is actually a better investment because it has complete global rights of AK112.</li>
<li>Investors are betting Summit to be acquired by MNCs at a high price.Due to anti-monopoly issue, the narrowing pool of potential buyers would increase the difficulty of Summit being acquired.</li>
</ul>


AK112’s HARMONi-2 results were impressive, but there’s still critical data gap before obtaining approval from FDA. The main concern is whether good PFS can be translated into significant OS benefits.

Akeso will be eligible to receive low double-digit royalties on net sales from Summit. So, Summit is actually a better investment because it has complete global rights of AK112.
Investors are betting Summit to be acquired by MNCs at a high price.Due to anti-monopoly issue, the narrowing pool of potential buyers would increase the difficulty of Summit being acquired.


Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) - Something Beautiful Is Happening

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd-94df40cf-c15e-462f-b3de-8d2d434ae935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36261:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab (9688 HK)</a> recorded Vyvgart revenue of $10M, $13M, and $23M in 4Q23, 1Q24, and 2Q24, respectively. The company raised 2024 Vyvgart revenue guidance to $80M from $70M earlier.</li>
<li>Despite strong momentum from Vyvgart, Zai Lab still has a lot of pain points. Decelerating revenue growth from Zejula is one of them.</li>
<li>Due to its in-licensing business model, Zai Lab has lower gross profit margin of 64–65%, compared with ~80% for a typical innovator biotech company.</li>
</ul>



Zai Lab (9688 HK) recorded Vyvgart revenue of $10M, $13M, and $23M in 4Q23, 1Q24, and 2Q24, respectively. The company raised 2024 Vyvgart revenue guidance to $80M from $70M earlier.
Despite strong momentum from Vyvgart, Zai Lab still has a lot of pain points. Decelerating revenue growth from Zejula is one of them.
Due to its in-licensing business model, Zai Lab has lower gross profit margin of 64–65%, compared with ~80% for a typical innovator biotech company.


Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (BGNE US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec 24: Two Changes Possible; US$265mn Capping Flows One-Way

PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) could replace Longfor Properties (960 HK) and Sino Biopharmaceutical...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) - Something Beautiful Is Happening

AK112's HARMONi-2 results show promise, but FDA approval depends on OS. Summit is actually a better investment than Akeso. Investors bet Summit to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

​Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec 24: Two Changes Possible; US$265mn Capping Flows One-Way

PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) could replace Longfor Properties (960 HK) and Sino Biopharmaceutical...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) - Something Beautiful Is Happening

​AK112's HARMONi-2 results show promise, but FDA approval depends on OS. Summit is actually a better investment than Akeso. Investors bet Summit to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

​Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...

Tina Banerjee

Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...

AK112's HARMONi-2 results show promise, but FDA approval depends on OS. Summit is actually a better investment than Akeso. Investors bet Summit to...

Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...