HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

Last month, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a> released the performance announcement in 2020. Junshi is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB1.595 billion, up 105.77% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB1.672 billion, up 123.8% YoY. Meanwhile, the R&amp;D expenses are expected to reach RMB1.824 billion in 2020, up 92.79% YoY, which even exceeded the total revenue in 2020. It is also worth mentioning that the moment of glory of Junshi seems to be when it was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020, with the market value of about RMB150 billion, and then its share price went all the way down to hit the bottom in December 2020 at RMB 64.8/share. On March 19, 2021, Junshi’s market value was RMB79 billion, down about 50% since July 2020. So could Junshi turn things around?

Last month, Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH) released the performance announcement in 2020. Junshi is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB1.595 billion, up 105.77% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB1.672 billion, up 123.8% YoY. Meanwhile, the R&amp;D expenses are expected to reach RMB1.824 billion in 2020, up 92.79% YoY, which even exceeded the total revenue in 2020. It is also worth mentioning that the moment of glory of Junshi seems to be when it was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020, with the market value of about RMB150 billion, and then its share price went all the way down to hit the bottom in December 2020 at RMB 64.8/share. On March 19, 2021, Junshi’s market value was RMB79 billion, down about 50% since July 2020. So could Junshi turn things around?

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience - Here Are the Challenges

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The National Healthcare Security Administration recently released a document about the intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables, so finally it is approaching.</li>
<li>The market of orthopedic implant consumables is still dominated by imported enterprises, and domestic enterprises have a certain gap in market competitiveness compared with foreign giants.</li>
<li>As the market size of China's oncology treatment industry grows, the proportion of targeted drugs and immunotherapy drugs are expected to increase in the future, and private oncology hospitals could get more development opportunities.</li>
</ul>2. Company news: News about the new equity agreement, strategic cooperation and progress of new drug from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jhbp-cy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29201:1" rel="noopener">JHBP (Genor) (6998 HK)</a>.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.83%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.71% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
The National Healthcare Security Administration recently released a document about the intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables, so finally it is approaching.
The market of orthopedic implant consumables is still dominated by imported enterprises, and domestic enterprises have a certain gap in market competitiveness compared with foreign giants.
As the market size of China's oncology treatment industry grows, the proportion of targeted drugs and immunotherapy drugs are expected to increase in the future, and private oncology hospitals could get more development opportunities.
2. Company news: News about the new equity agreement, strategic cooperation and progress of new drug from Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) and JHBP (Genor) (6998 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.83%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.71% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

With the gradual marketing of biological drugs, almost all of the world's top ten blockbuster drugs were dominated by biological drugs. From the global total sales of blockbuster drugs announced in 2020, the top three were AbbVie's Humira ($19,832 million sales in 2020), Merck’s Keytruda ($14,380 million sales in 2020) and BMS’s Revlimid ($12,106 million sales in 2020). Throughout the world, biological drugs have become the main direction of future development. In China, domestic pharmaceutical enterprises have also laid out biological drug products in their pipelines. The following mainly analyzed the development situation and investment opportunities in this market.

With the gradual marketing of biological drugs, almost all of the world's top ten blockbuster drugs were dominated by biological drugs. From the global total sales of blockbuster drugs announced in 2020, the top three were AbbVie's Humira ($19,832 million sales in 2020), Merck’s Keytruda ($14,380 million sales in 2020) and BMS’s Revlimid ($12,106 million sales in 2020). Throughout the world, biological drugs have become the main direction of future development. In China, domestic pharmaceutical enterprises have also laid out biological drug products in their pipelines. The following mainly analyzed the development situation and investment opportunities in this market. 

Industry Report - Insights on China Biological Drug Market

Bio-Thera Solutions Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

In the first quarter of 2021, following the failure of the BAT8001 phase III clinical trial, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bio-thera-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29127:1" rel="noopener">Bio-Thera Solutions Ltd (688177 CH)</a> announced the suspension of R&amp;D of two other projects in the pipeline, BAT8003 and BAT1306. It is estimated that Bio-Thera has invested about RMB340 million in these three projects. Currently, Bio-Thera has only one product (Qletli) on the market. In the financial reports of 2020, the revenue was RMB185 million and Qletli contributed about RMB183 million, almost the entire revenue of the Company. Meanwhile, the net loss in 2020 was RMB513 million, and the Company has been suffering from losses for five consecutive years. So, what's next for Bio-Thera after R&amp;D setbacks and years of losses?

In the first quarter of 2021, following the failure of the BAT8001 phase III clinical trial, Bio-Thera Solutions Ltd (688177 CH) announced the suspension of R&amp;D of two other projects in the pipeline, BAT8003 and BAT1306. It is estimated that Bio-Thera has invested about RMB340 million in these three projects. Currently, Bio-Thera has only one product (Qletli) on the market. In the financial reports of 2020, the revenue was RMB185 million and Qletli contributed about RMB183 million, almost the entire revenue of the Company. Meanwhile, the net loss in 2020 was RMB513 million, and the Company has been suffering from losses for five consecutive years. So, what's next for Bio-Thera after R&amp;D setbacks and years of losses?

Bio-Thera Solutions (688177.CH) - What's Next for Bio-Thera After R&D Setbacks and Years of Losses?

Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK)</a>'s core product RC18 has received conditional marketing approval in China for the treatment of SLE. RC18 is the first domestic innovative drug for the treatment of SLE approved for marketing in China in more than 60 years, with excellent therapeutic effect and is expected to fill the treatment gap. In addition, the Company officially launched its A-share IPO plan and is expected to list on the SSE STAR Market. The good news was also reflected in the stock price, in the last three trading days, the stock price of RemeGen increased by nearly 25%.

Last week, Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK)'s core product RC18 has received conditional marketing approval in China for the treatment of SLE. RC18 is the first domestic innovative drug for the treatment of SLE approved for marketing in China in more than 60 years, with excellent therapeutic effect and is expected to fill the treatment gap. In addition, the Company officially launched its A-share IPO plan and is expected to list on the SSE STAR Market. The good news was also reflected in the stock price, in the last three trading days, the stock price of RemeGen increased by nearly 25%. 

Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) - Commercialized RC18 + IPO On SSE STAR Market = New Chapter & Challenges

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (BGNE US)

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience - Here Are the Challenges

The article analyzed the concerns and challenges that Junshi has to face in terms of PD-1, COVID-19 antibody drug, other products in the pipeline...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.19)

The article analyzed intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables & its market pattern, trend of China's oncology treatment...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Industry Report - Insights on China Biological Drug Market

The article analyzed China biological drug market in terms of monoclonal antibody, bispecific antibody,ADC,domestic application to NMPA and also...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Bio-Thera Solutions (688177.CH) - What's Next for Bio-Thera After R&D Setbacks and Years of Losses?

The article analyzed the concerns after the suspension of R&D of its three core products, the challenges of its listed product Qletli,and also the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) - Commercialized RC18 + IPO On SSE STAR Market = New Chapter & Challenges

The article analyzed RemeGen's first commericalized product RC18, the challenges in R&D failure, fierce competition, commercialization and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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