HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It’s “a wise decision” to out-license CMG901 and receive cashflow in advance so as to focus on more important late-stage products.Keymed’s management is as pragmatic as ever in strategic choices.</li>
<li>Biotech would find it difficult to promote products by themselves and has to cooperate with Big Pharma to open domestic/foreign markets. But many investors are still “living in the illusion”.</li>
<li>There would be more BD deals in the future. Our view on Keymed's valuation remains unchanged - Market cap about RMB8 billion to RMB1.6 billion is the reasonable range. </li>
</ul>


It’s “a wise decision” to out-license CMG901 and receive cashflow in advance so as to focus on more important late-stage products.Keymed’s management is as pragmatic as ever in strategic choices.
Biotech would find it difficult to promote products by themselves and has to cooperate with Big Pharma to open domestic/foreign markets. But many investors are still “living in the illusion”.
There would be more BD deals in the future. Our view on Keymed's valuation remains unchanged - Market cap about RMB8 billion to RMB1.6 billion is the reasonable range. 


Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The $1.2B Deal with AstraZeneca for ADC and the Logic Behind

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>We believe Healthcare names could be given top priority when selecting additions for the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) in March 2023.
We believe Healthcare names could be given top priority when selecting additions for the upcoming rebalance.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate

<ul>
<li>The 2022 NRDL negotiation results were released. We analyzed some points worth investor's attention.</li>
<li>The "safety pad" brought by medical insurance is difficult to ensure products future sales.Even after entering NRDL, how to improve patient/doctor coverage is an important problem for enterprises to consider.</li>
<li>Here are some companies that investors are interested in. We mainly analyzed some key points of them, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sirnaomics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33804:1" rel="noopener">Sirnaomics (2257 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-therapeutics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29679:1" rel="noopener">JW Therapeutics (2126 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The 2022 NRDL negotiation results were released. We analyzed some points worth investor's attention.
The "safety pad" brought by medical insurance is difficult to ensure products future sales.Even after entering NRDL, how to improve patient/doctor coverage is an important problem for enterprises to consider.
Here are some companies that investors are interested in. We mainly analyzed some key points of them, including Sirnaomics (2257 HK), JW Therapeutics (2126 HK), Antengene (6996 HK). 


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.20) - NRDL Negotiation Results, JW Therapeutics, Sirnaomics, Antengene

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Junshi once generated sales and profits in scale, but lost money again. Its story suddenly changed from cancer drugs to COVID-19. We have lost sight of its development direction.</li>
<li>Junshi's commercialization history has lost its reference value for confirming the outlook. The calculation of peak sales doesn’t make much sense, because they cannot help Junshi turn losses into profits.</li>
<li>The current market value still has too much “bubble”, and COVID-19 drug is a major “interference” to the valuation. We analyzed our thoughts on future valuation by excluding COVID-19 projects.  </li>
</ul>


Junshi once generated sales and profits in scale, but lost money again. Its story suddenly changed from cancer drugs to COVID-19. We have lost sight of its development direction.
Junshi's commercialization history has lost its reference value for confirming the outlook. The calculation of peak sales doesn’t make much sense, because they cannot help Junshi turn losses into profits.
The current market value still has too much “bubble”, and COVID-19 drug is a major “interference” to the valuation. We analyzed our thoughts on future valuation by excluding COVID-19 projects.  


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK/688180.CH)- Junshi Has Changed Its Story from Tumor to COVID-19?

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (BGNE US)

Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The $1.2B Deal with AstraZeneca for ADC and the Logic Behind

It’s wise decision for Keymed to out-license CMG901 and receive cashflow in advance due to uncertainties.Biotech has to rely on Big Pharma in post...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene, Hworld, Hutchmed

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 27th and highlight short interest changes in Li Ning, Ccb, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate

JD Health, BeiGene, WuXi AppTec, Genscript Biotech, and Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer are our top picks from the Healthcare Sector for Hang...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.20) - NRDL Negotiation Results, JW Therapeutics, Sirnaomics, Antengene

We analyzed 2022 NRDL negotiation result - There're positive sides.The "safety pad" brought by medical insurance coverage may not be high.We...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK/688180.CH)- Junshi Has Changed Its Story from Tumor to COVID-19?

After Junshi's story changed from tumor to COVID-19, we've lost sight of its future direction.The pipeline can't help Junshi turn loss into...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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