IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> disclosed a competing pre-conditional voluntary offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> at HK$7.21, a 4.9% premium to Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer.  </li>
<li>Like the Changping Industrial offer, ORG’s offer is pre-conditional on regulatory approvals and has a 50% minimum acceptance condition. Changping Industrial has secured all regulatory approvals except SAMR. </li>
<li>ORG’s skinny premium and precarious irrevocable from Mr Zhang Wei suggests Changping Industrial’s next move is to secure Mr Wei’s irrevocable with a revised higher offer.</li>
</ul>



CPMC Holdings (906 HK) disclosed a competing pre-conditional voluntary offer from ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) at HK$7.21, a 4.9% premium to Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer.  
Like the Changping Industrial offer, ORG’s offer is pre-conditional on regulatory approvals and has a 50% minimum acceptance condition. Changping Industrial has secured all regulatory approvals except SAMR. 
ORG’s skinny premium and precarious irrevocable from Mr Zhang Wei suggests Changping Industrial’s next move is to secure Mr Wei’s irrevocable with a revised higher offer.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): ORG’s Competing Offer Kicks off an Auction

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Novelis Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novelis-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39969:1" rel="noopener">Novelis Corporation (0620365D US)</a> Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.
Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a> disclosed a pre-conditional voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> at HK$2.65, a 26.2% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The pre-condition relates to Chinese regulatory approvals and Shandong Xinjufeng shareholder approval. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>Shandong Xinjufeng’s previous acquisition of Jardine Matheson’s 28.22% stake elicited a defensive move by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>. This development is likely to force a Mengniu competing VGO.  </li>
</ul>



Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) disclosed a pre-conditional voluntary offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) at HK$2.65, a 26.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
The pre-condition relates to Chinese regulatory approvals and Shandong Xinjufeng shareholder approval. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition.
Shandong Xinjufeng’s previous acquisition of Jardine Matheson’s 28.22% stake elicited a defensive move by China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK). This development is likely to force a Mengniu competing VGO.  


Greatview Aseptic (468 HK): Shandong Xinjufeng VGO Could Force Mengniu to Act

Investment Advisor, Upslope Capital Management

Upslope Capital Management

Investment Advisor

Investment advisor for Upslope Partners Fund, LP, a global long/short equity hedge fund.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.</li><li>After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.</li><li>While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.</li></ul>

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> disclosed that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>, the second-largest shareholder, is considering a competing voluntary conditional general cash offer.</li>
<li>It is rare to bid against an SOE bidder. ORG likely has implicit SOE support to launch a competing offer due to the need for Chinese regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>The possible scenarios suggest Mr Zhang Wei is the winning bid’s kingmaker. Mr Wei sold down 260K shares at HK$6.35 on 8 December, indicating a willingness to exit.</li>
</ul>



CPMC Holdings (906 HK) disclosed that ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH), the second-largest shareholder, is considering a competing voluntary conditional general cash offer.
It is rare to bid against an SOE bidder. ORG likely has implicit SOE support to launch a competing offer due to the need for Chinese regulatory approvals. 
The possible scenarios suggest Mr Zhang Wei is the winning bid’s kingmaker. Mr Wei sold down 260K shares at HK$6.35 on 8 December, indicating a willingness to exit.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Possible Scenarios as ORG Mulls a Competing Offer

United States

Ball Corporation provides metal packaging for beverages, foods, and household products. The Company also supplies aerospace and other technologies and services to commercial and governmental customers. Ball serves customers worldwide.

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Ball (BALL US)

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): ORG’s Competing Offer Kicks off an Auction

ORG’s skinny premium and precarious irrevocable from Mr Zhang Wei suggests Changping Industrial’s next move is to secure Mr Wei’s irrevocable with...

Arun George

Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The...

Clarence Chu

Greatview Aseptic (468 HK): Shandong Xinjufeng VGO Could Force Mengniu to Act

Shandong Xinjufeng’s previous acquisition of Jardine Matheson’s 28.22% stake elicited a defensive move by Mengniu. This development is likely to...

Arun George

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the...

Upslope Capital Management

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Possible Scenarios as ORG Mulls a Competing Offer

The possible scenarios suggest Mr Zhang Wei is the winning bid’s kingmaker. Mr Wei sold down 260K shares at HK$6.35 on 8 December, indicating a...

Arun George

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