Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.</p><p>The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.</p><p>After missing out on index inclusion at the June rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> has a high probability of being included at the upcoming review. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is the most likely deletion from the index.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> will have over 2 days of ADV (and 7 days of delivery volume) to buy from passive funds while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> will have nearly 3.5 days of ADV (10 days of delivery volume) to sell.</p>

The S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.After missing out on index inclusion at the June rebalance, Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) has a high probability of being included at the upcoming review. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is the most likely deletion from the index.Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) will have over 2 days of ADV (and 7 days of delivery volume) to buy from passive funds while Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) will have nearly 3.5 days of ADV (10 days of delivery volume) to sell.

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Could Be IN, Pushing Bajaj Auto OUT

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We maintain our BUY rating on the stock keeping our TP of Rs 4,250 unchanged (which includes Rs 200/share for the company's stake in KTM) as we value the stock at 17x its FY23E EPS.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock keeping our TP of Rs 4,250 unchanged (which includes Rs 200/share for the company's stake in KTM) as we value the stock at 17x its FY23E EPS.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto: Marginally Weaker Performance; Outlook Remains Stable

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

<p>About the stock: Bajaj Auto (BAL) is the second largest motorcycle manufacturer and largest 3-W OEM domestically (FY21 market share at 18%, 50.6%, respectively).</p><ul><li>Exports comprised ~52% of FY21 volumes; &gt;125 cc motorcycles constituted ~28% of FY21 volumes with Pulsar 125 enjoying good success</li><li>Strong b/s with ~| 20,000 crore surplus cash on books, history of &gt;20% return ratios &amp; one of the highest dividend yields among Nifty stocks</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

About the stock: Bajaj Auto (BAL) is the second largest motorcycle manufacturer and largest 3-W OEM domestically (FY21 market share at 18%, 50.6%, respectively).Exports comprised ~52% of FY21 volumes; &gt;125 cc motorcycles constituted ~28% of FY21 volumes with Pulsar 125 enjoying good successStrong b/s with ~| 20,000 crore surplus cash on books, history of &gt;20% return ratios &amp; one of the highest dividend yields among Nifty stocksContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto: Margin Bottom Not yet in Sight, Lacks Imminent Triggers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

<p>While its share in the domestic Motorcycle market declined marginally (50bp to 18%), led by market share loss of 770bp in the Sports segment due to cannibalization by Pulsar 125cc. It expects to further strengthen its position in the Premium segment, with...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

While its share in the domestic Motorcycle market declined marginally (50bp to 18%), led by market share loss of 770bp in the Sports segment due to cannibalization by Pulsar 125cc. It expects to further strengthen its position in the Premium segment, with...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Morning India: Bajaj Auto: Exports cushion domestic weakness

<p>BJAUT's FY21 annual report highlights its resilient performance in a year impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, led by continuous premiumization and focus on R&amp;D.; Its focus on exports and on Premium Motorcycles helped it to outperform the 2W...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

BJAUT's FY21 annual report highlights its resilient performance in a year impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, led by continuous premiumization and focus on R&amp;D.; Its focus on exports and on Premium Motorcycles helped it to outperform the 2W...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Could Be IN, Pushing Bajaj Auto OUT

Half way through the review period for the Sensex, we expect Wipro replaces Bajaj Auto at the December rebalance. Both stocks trade cheaper than...

Brian Freitas

Bajaj Auto: Marginally Weaker Performance; Outlook Remains Stable

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock keeping our TP of Rs 4,250 unchanged (which includes Rs 200/share for the company's stake in KTM) as we...

Axis Direct

Bajaj Auto: Margin Bottom Not yet in Sight, Lacks Imminent Triggers

Bajaj Auto (BAL) is the second largest motorcycle manufacturer and largest 3-W OEM domestically (FY21 market share at 18%, 50.6%, respectively).

ICICI Securities Limited

Morning India: Bajaj Auto: Exports cushion domestic weakness

While its share in the domestic Motorcycle market declined marginally (50bp to 18%), led by market share loss of 770bp in the Sports segment due to...

Motilal Oswal

Exports cushion domestic weakness

BJAUT's FY21 annual report highlights its resilient performance in a year impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak, led by continuous premiumization and...

Motilal Oswal

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